Gent vs St. Truiden
Gent
#4 · Jupiler Pro League
DDWWW
0 - 0
Planet Group Arena, Gent
Referee: J. Vergoote
St. Truiden
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
DLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Gent will face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League at Planet Group Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gent has a 46.1% probability of winning this match. St. Truiden has a 30.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Gent have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Gent46.1%2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.8%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.42
15.6%
1-2
8.86
11.4%
2-1
8.93
11.3%
1-0
9.72
10.4%
0-1
9.76
10.3%
2-2
10.58
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.50 | Draw 3.44 | Away 2.60 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.67 | Under 2.17 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.60 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.53 | No 2.34 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.46 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.48 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals78.2%
Over 2.5 Goals53.8%
Over 3.5 Goals35.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 45 | DDLDW |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGentSt. Truiden
1.71Goals p.g.1.4
1.14Goals conceded p.g.1.07
29%Clean sheets27%
50%Win rate53%
2.86Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
GentLAST MATCHES
19 AprGent0–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
06 AprGent1–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
22 MarDender1–3GentJupiler Pro League
13 MarGent2–0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
08 MarGent3–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
01 MarGenk3–0GentJupiler Pro League
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESSt. Truiden
19 AprGent0–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
11 AprSt. Truiden1–2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
04 AprUnion St. Gilloise1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
22 MarSt. Truiden1–3Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
15 MarGenk1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
08 MarSt. Truiden2–1Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
8Win53%
1Draw7%
6Lost40%
Lineups
ConfirmedGent3-4-1-2Confirmed
4Daiki HashiokaDEF
44Siebe Van Der HeydenDEF
57Matties VolckaertDEF
24Hyun-Seok HongFWD
21Max DeanFWD
7Wilfried KangaFWD
33Davy RoefGK
8Michał SkóraśMID
20Tiago AraújoMID
22Leonardo LopesMID
27Tibe De VliegerMID
Substitutes
29Jean-Kévin DuverneDEF
54Hannes VernemmenDEF
11Momodou SonkoFWD
45Hyllarion GooreFWD
75Ibrahima CisseFWD
30Kjell PeersmanGK
15Atsuki ItoMID
37Abdelkahar KadriMID
10Aimé OmgbaMID
St. Truiden4-3-3Confirmed
3Taiga HataDEF
8Abdoulaye SissakoDEF
26Visar MusliuDEF
5Shogo TaniguchiDEF
60Robert-Jan VanwesemaelFWD
10Ilias SebaouiFWD
42Keisuke GotoFWD
16Léo KokuboGK
6Rihito YamamotoMID
13Ryotaro ItoMID
38Kaito MatsuzawaMID
Substitutes
22Wolke JanssensDEF
23Joedrick PupeDEF
4Loïc Mbe SohDEF
18Simen JuklerodDEF
77Oumar DioufFWD
21Matt LendfersGK
14Ryan MerlenMID
11Isaías DelpupoMID
33Alouis DirikenMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersGent
No reported absences
St. Truiden
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.53 (57.8%)
Value Bets
Gent Win2.50 (46.1%)
St. Truiden Win2.60 (30.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (53.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (46.2%)
BTTS No2.34 (42.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.1%)
