Genk vs Standard Liege
Genk
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
WWDLW
1 - 1
Cegeka Arena, Genk
Standard Liege
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLWD
★ OUR PICK
Genk to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Standard Liege make Genk the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Genk to Win. Our model calculates a 58.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Genk will face Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League at Cegeka Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Genk has a 58.3% probability of winning this match. Standard Liege has a 21.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Genk have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Genk average 2.0 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Genk58.3%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.1%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%1.76
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.90
14.6%
1-1
7.18
14%
2-1
7.26
13.9%
2-0
7.34
13.7%
3-0
10.78
9.4%
3-1
11.07
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.56 | Draw 4.06 | Away 5.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.72 | Under 2.10 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.03 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.77 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.96 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.21 | X2 2.35 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals76.8%
Over 2.5 Goals57.1%
Over 3.5 Goals33.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 | Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGenkStandard Liege
2Goals p.g.1.25
1.62Goals conceded p.g.1.38
25%Clean sheets25%
62%Win rate38%
3.62Avg goals in match2.62
Recent Results
GenkLAST MATCHES
18 AprKVC Westerlo1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
03 AprAntwerp1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
22 MarRAAL La Louvière5–5GenkJupiler Pro League
19 MarSC Freiburg5–1GenkUEFA Europa League
15 MarGenk1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
12 MarGenk1–0SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESStandard Liege
21 AprStandard Liege1–2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
11 AprStandard Liege1–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
04 AprOH Leuven1–3Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
22 MarStandard Liege0–0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
15 MarAntwerp1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
6Win38%
4Draw25%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGenk
No reported absences
Standard Liege
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Genk Win1.56 (58.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.72 (57.1%)
Both Teams Score1.76 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (42.9%)
BTTS No1.96 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.06 (20.3%)
Standard Liege Win5.41 (21.4%)
