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Genk vs Charleroi

Jupiler Pro LeagueConference League Group - 34
Genk
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
WWDLW
1 - 1
Cegeka Arena, Genk
Referee: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
Charleroi
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLLL
55.2%
Home Win
22.1%
Draw
22.8%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Genk will face Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League at Cegeka Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Genk has a 55.2% probability of winning this match. Charleroi has a 22.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Genk have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Genk average 2.0 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Genk55.2%1.81
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.7%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.3%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.36
15.8%
1-0
6.90
14.5%
2-1
7.53
13.3%
2-0
8.40
12%
0-0
10.38
9.7%
0-1
11.26
9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.81Draw 3.56Away 4.14
O/U 2.5Over 1.82Under 1.97
O/U 1.5Over 1.24Under 3.78
O/U 3.5Over 3.03Under 1.36
BTTSYes 1.71No 2.03
Double Chance1X 1.2112 1.25X2 1.94

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Genk
341311105150129
DWDWD
1
Union St. Gilloise
30199250173366
DWWWW
2
KVC Westerlo
34139124343029
WLWWD
2
Club Brugge KV
30203759362363
WLWWW
3
St. Truiden
30183947351257
WDLLL
3
Standard Liege
34137143441-726
LWLWD
5
Charleroi
34108164248-621
DLWLL
14
Cercle Brugge
30710133947-831
WWDWL
15
RAAL La Louvière
30613113037-731
LLLDW
16
Dender
30310172451-2719
LLWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
GenkCharleroi
2Goals p.g.1.27
1.62Goals conceded p.g.1.67
25%Clean sheets27%
62%Win rate27%
3.62Avg goals in match2.93

Recent Results

GenkLAST MATCHES
18 AprKVC Westerlo1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
03 AprAntwerp1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
22 MarRAAL La Louvière5–5GenkJupiler Pro League
19 MarSC Freiburg5–1GenkUEFA Europa League
15 MarGenk1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
12 MarGenk1–0SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESCharleroi
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
10 AprCharleroi2–1AntwerpJupiler Pro League
05 AprKVC Westerlo2–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
22 MarZulte Waregem1–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
14 MarCharleroi0–2OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
07 MarDender2–2CharleroiJupiler Pro League
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Genk

No reported absences

Charleroi

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Genk Win1.81 (55.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (56.7%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (58.3%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (43.3%)
BTTS No2.03 (41.7%)
●Speculative
Draw3.56 (22.1%)
Charleroi Win4.14 (22.8%)
Genk vs Charleroi Predictions, Stats, H2H - 21 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro