Fredrikstad vs Viking
Fredrikstad
#8 · Eliteserien
LWWLL
1 - 2
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Referee: M. S. Kringstad
Viking
#3 · Eliteserien
WWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.56
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fredrikstad will face Viking in the Eliteserien at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fredrikstad has a 28% probability of winning this match. Viking has a 51.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Viking are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Viking average 2.5 goals per game
- Viking have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- With a combined average of 4.2 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Viking51.9%1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.5%1.52
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.3%1.52
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.65
13.2%
1-2
7.69
13.1%
0-1
9.13
11.1%
0-2
9.53
10.6%
1-3
11.21
9%
2-2
11.65
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.18 | Draw 3.96 | Away 1.69 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.40 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.30 | Under 1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.52 | No 2.37 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.08 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.21 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.9%
Over 1.5 Goals81.1%
Over 2.5 Goals63.5%
Over 3.5 Goals40.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lillestrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Viking | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Molde | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 14 |  Brann | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Start | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFredrikstadViking
1.73Goals p.g.2.5
1.8Goals conceded p.g.0.88
13%Clean sheets44%
53%Win rate75%
3.53Avg goals in match3.38
Recent Results
FredrikstadLAST MATCHES
19 AprKristiansund BK2–0FredrikstadEliteserien
07 AprAalesund2–3FredrikstadEliteserien
22 MarFredrikstad3–1KFUM OsloEliteserien
19 MarKFUM Oslo3–2FredrikstadNM Cupen
15 MarTromso4–0FredrikstadEliteserien
08 MarFredrikstad2–1Sarpsborg 08 FFNM Cupen
8Win53%
2Draw13%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESViking
18 AprViking3–2BrannEliteserien
06 AprValerenga0–1VikingEliteserien
25 MarViking3–0HaugesundFriendlies Clubs
21 MarViking4–1MoldeEliteserien
18 MarViking1–2AalesundNM Cupen
14 MarHam-Kam2–1VikingEliteserien
12Win75%
2Draw13%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedFredrikstad5-4-1Confirmed
16Daniel EidDEF
12Ulrik FredriksenDEF
18Jonathan NorbyeDEF
13Sondre SørløkkDEF
6Samuel Leach HolmDEF
23Henrik Langaas SkogvoldFWD
77Martin BorsheimGK
24Leonard OwusuMID
20Oskar ØhlenschlaegerMID
4Fredrik HolméMID
21Rocco Robert SheinMID
Substitutes
19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemDEF
26Joachim NysveenDEF
5Simen RafnDEF
3Aleksander AndresenDEF
2Kennedy OkpalekeDEF
1Oystein OvretveitGK
15Eirik GranaasMID
14Max NilssonMID
9Salim LaghzaouiMID
Viking4-4-2Confirmed
6Gianni StensnessDEF
5Henrik HeggheimDEF
7Kristoffer AskildsenDEF
28Kristoffer HaugenDEF
10Zlatko TripićFWD
20Peter ChristiansenFWD
30Ľubomír BelkoGK
26Simen Kvia-EgeskogMID
25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerMID
8Joe BellMID
23Niklas Kemp FuglestadMID
Substitutes
24Vetle AuklendDEF
2Herman Johan HaugenDEF
21Anders BaertelsenDEF
18Sondre Flem BjørsholDEF
17Edvin AustbøFWD
11Hilmir Rafn MikaelssonFWD
13Arn Sebastian EscobarGK
29Tobias MoiMID
15Ola VistedMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersFredrikstad1
F. Holme
QuestionableInjury
Viking5
A. Ostbo
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
E. Austbo
QuestionableGroin Injury
M. Roseth
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Berisha
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
V. Vevatne
QuestionableInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (63.5%)
Both Teams Score1.52 (62.3%)
Value Bets
Fredrikstad Win4.18 (28%)
Viking Win1.69 (51.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.40 (36.5%)
BTTS No2.37 (37.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.96 (20.1%)
