Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
#5 · Meistriliiga
LWLLL
6 - 0
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Referee: K. Tohver
Trans Narva
#10 · Meistriliiga
LLLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Flora Tallinn will face Trans Narva in the Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Flora Tallinn has a 61.6% probability of winning this match. Trans Narva has a 19.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Flora Tallinn61.6%1.43
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.4%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.12
14.2%
2-0
7.52
13.4%
1-1
7.80
12.9%
1-0
7.99
12.6%
3-1
9.38
10.8%
3-0
9.85
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.43 | Draw 4.20 | Away 5.59 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.49 | Under 2.33 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 4.71 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.22 | Under 1.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.11 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.10 | 12 1.15 | X2 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals61.4%
Over 3.5 Goals41.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFlora TallinnTrans Narva
1.53Goals p.g.1.47
1.27Goals conceded p.g.2.12
33%Clean sheets18%
53%Win rate24%
2.8Avg goals in match3.59
Recent Results
Flora TallinnLAST MATCHES
19 AprFC Levadia Tallinn4–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
07 AprFlora Tallinn2–1KuressaareMeistriliiga
03 AprTammeka3–1Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
22 MarLaagri2–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
10 MarFlora Tallinn3–1Nõmme UnitedCup
8Win53%
1Draw7%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESTrans Narva
22 AprFlora Tallinn6–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
18 AprTrans Narva1–2KuressaareMeistriliiga
11 AprNõmme United5–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
4Win24%
4Draw24%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlora Tallinn
No reported absences
Trans Narva
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Flora Tallinn Win1.43 (61.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (61.4%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (59%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.33 (38.6%)
BTTS No2.11 (41%)
Speculative
Draw4.20 (19.2%)
Trans Narva Win5.59 (19.1%)
