Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
Fiorentina
#15 · Serie A
DLWDW
0 - 0
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Referee: L. Marinelli
Sassuolo
#10 · Serie A
LWDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fiorentina will face Sassuolo in the Serie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina has a 48.9% probability of winning this match. Sassuolo has a 27.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Fiorentina48.9%1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.4%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
15.9%
1-0
7.37
13.6%
2-1
7.89
12.7%
2-0
9.10
11.1%
0-0
10.02
10.1%
0-1
11.11
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.93 | Draw 3.36 | Away 4.10 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.95 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.67 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.06 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.71 | No 2.06 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.23 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.86 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.4%
Over 1.5 Goals74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals51.4%
Over 3.5 Goals30.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 | WLWDL |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 18 |  Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFiorentinaSassuolo
1.41Goals p.g.1.14
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.5
24%Clean sheets14%
41%Win rate43%
2.88Avg goals in match2.64
Recent Results
FiorentinaLAST MATCHES
20 AprLecce1–1FiorentinaSerie A
09 AprCrystal Palace3–0FiorentinaUEFA Europa Conference League
04 AprHellas Verona0–1FiorentinaSerie A
22 MarFiorentina1–1InterSerie A
19 MarRaków Częstochowa1–2FiorentinaUEFA Europa Conference League
16 MarCremonese1–4FiorentinaSerie A
7Win41%
4Draw24%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESSassuolo
12 AprGenoa2–1SassuoloSerie A
04 AprSassuolo2–1CagliariSerie A
21 MarJuventus1–1SassuoloSerie A
15 MarSassuolo0–1BolognaSerie A
09 MarLazio2–1SassuoloSerie A
01 MarSassuolo2–1AtalantaSerie A
6Win43%
1Draw7%
7Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
12 playersFiorentina6
F. Parisi
Missing FixtureInactive
M. Kean
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
M. Pongracic
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
N. Fortini
QuestionableBack Injury
R. Gosens
Missing FixtureInjury
T. Lamptey
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Sassuolo6
D. Bakola
QuestionableInjury
D. Berardi
Missing FixtureRed Card
D. Boloca
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
E. Pieragnolo
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
F. Cande
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
F. Romagna
QuestionableKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.71 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Fiorentina Win1.93 (48.9%)
Sassuolo Win4.10 (27.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.87 (51.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.95 (48.6%)
BTTS No2.06 (44.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.36 (23.6%)
