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FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27
FC Rostov
#10 · Premier League
WLLDL
0 - 1
Rostov Arena, Rostov
Referee: P. Kukuyan
FC Orenburg
#11 · Premier League
LDLLW
49.4%
Home Win
24%
Draw
26.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.81
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 (implied 56.5%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.75. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , FC Rostov will face FC Orenburg in the Premier League at Rostov Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Rostov has a 49.4% probability of winning this match. FC Orenburg has a 26.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — FC Rostov49.4%2.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.3%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.9%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.93
16.9%
1-0
6.28
15.9%
2-1
8.27
12.1%
2-0
8.76
11.4%
0-0
8.89
11.2%
0-1
9.25
10.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.04Draw 3.44Away 3.77
O/U 2.5Over 2.13Under 1.77
O/U 1.5Over 1.34Under 3.13
O/U 3.5Over 3.67Under 1.26
BTTSYes 1.85No 1.86
Double Chance1X 1.2612 1.31X2 1.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
42.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Zenit
26168245172856
DWDWW
2
FC Krasnodar
25166351193254
DDWWW
3
Lokomotiv
261310351331849
DWDLW
4
Baltika
251112236152145
DDDWW
5
Spartak Moscow
2513664133845
WDWWL
6
CSKA Moscow
26135838281044
DDLWW
10
FC Rostov
2669112028-827
DLDWL
11
FC Orenburg
2658132638-1223
WLDDL
14
Krylia Sovetov
2658132747-2023
LDDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2664162242-2022
LDDLL
16
FC Sochi
2653182454-3018
WWWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
FC RostovFC Orenburg
1.15Goals p.g.1.07
1.31Goals conceded p.g.0.93
31%Clean sheets14%
31%Win rate36%
2.46Avg goals in match2

Recent Results

FC RostovLAST MATCHES
05 AprNizhny Novgorod0–1FC RostovPremier League
21 MarAkhmat1–0FC RostovPremier League
14 MarFC Rostov0–1DynamoPremier League
07 MarFC Rostov1–1BaltikaPremier League
04 MarFC Rostov0–2Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
28 FebFC Krasnodar2–1FC RostovPremier League
4Win31%
2Draw15%
7Lost54%
LAST MATCHESFC Orenburg
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
04 AprDynamo3–3FC OrenburgPremier League
22 MarFC Orenburg0–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
13 MarDinamo Makhachkala1–0FC OrenburgPremier League
08 MarFC Orenburg2–1ZenitPremier League
04 MarKrylia Sovetov2–0FC OrenburgCup
5Win36%
1Draw7%
5Lost36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

2 players

FC Rostov

No reported absences

FC Orenburg2

✕B. Ovsyannikov
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
✕F. Moufi
QuestionableInjury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (57.3%)
●Value Bets
FC Rostov Win2.04 (49.4%)
FC Orenburg Win3.77 (26.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.13 (42.7%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (48.1%)
BTTS No1.86 (51.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.44 (24%)
FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro