FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
#11 · Premier League
LDLLW
0 - 1
Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg
Referee: A. Chistyakov
Lokomotiv
#3 · Premier League
WLWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Orenburg will face Lokomotiv in the Premier League at Gazovik Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Orenburg has a 32.2% probability of winning this match. Lokomotiv has a 45.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lokomotiv sit 3rd in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Lokomotiv average 2.1 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lokomotiv45.8%2.14
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.9%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 5 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.82
14.7%
1-2
8.20
12.2%
0-1
9.51
10.5%
2-1
10.29
9.7%
0-2
11.60
8.6%
2-2
11.69
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.13 | Draw 3.76 | Away 2.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.64 | Under 2.35 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.71 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.49 | Under 1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.53 | No 2.38 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.74 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.36 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals80.1%
Over 2.5 Goals55.9%
Over 3.5 Goals37.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 23 | WLDDL |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC OrenburgLokomotiv
1.07Goals p.g.2.13
0.93Goals conceded p.g.1.33
14%Clean sheets27%
36%Win rate60%
2Avg goals in match3.47
Recent Results
FC OrenburgLAST MATCHES
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
04 AprDynamo3–3FC OrenburgPremier League
22 MarFC Orenburg0–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
13 MarDinamo Makhachkala1–0FC OrenburgPremier League
08 MarFC Orenburg2–1ZenitPremier League
04 MarKrylia Sovetov2–0FC OrenburgCup
5Win36%
1Draw7%
5Lost36%
LAST MATCHESLokomotiv
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarLokomotiv5–1AkronPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
15 MarRubin3–0LokomotivPremier League
09 MarLokomotiv2–2AkhmatPremier League
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Orenburg4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Danila KhotulevDEF
18Fahd MoufiDEF
6Jhon PalaciosDEF
32Alexis CanteroDEF
30Gedeon GuzinaFWD
1Bogdan OvsyannikovGK
7Emircan GürlükMID
8Damián PueblaMID
16Jordhy ThompsonMID
57Evgeniy BolotovMID
37Du QueirozMID
Substitutes
38Artem KasimovDEF
3Danila VedernikovDEF
19Alexandre JesusFWD
29Anas El MahraouiFWD
88Maksim RudakovGK
78Ruslan KulMID
33Irakli KvekveskiriMID
59Tigran AvanesyanMID
27Renat GolybinMID
2Stanislav PoroykovMID
26Emil TsenovMID
20Dmitry RybchinskiyMID
Lokomotiv4-2-3-1Confirmed
23César MontesDEF
45Aleksandr SilyanovDEF
85Evgeniy MorozovDEF
3Lucas FassonDEF
10Dmitriy VorobyevFWD
1Anton MitryushkinGK
25Danil PrutsevMID
93Artem KarpukasMID
7Zelimkhan BakaevMID
19Aleksandr RudenkoMID
83Aleksey BatrakovMID
Substitutes
59Egor PogostnovDEF
5Gerzino NyamsiDEF
74Daniil ChevardinDEF
99Ruslan MyalkovskiyFWD
22Ilya LantratovGK
16Daniil VeselovGK
88Mikhail ShchetininMID
94Artem TimofeevMID
32Lucas VeraMID
90Danila GodyaevMID
14Nikita SaltykovMID
Unavailable Players
2 playersFC Orenburg
No reported absences
Lokomotiv2
N. Komlichenko
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Pinyaev
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (55.9%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (58.4%)
Value Bets
FC Orenburg Win3.13 (32.2%)
Lokomotiv Win2.14 (45.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (44.1%)
BTTS No2.38 (41.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.76 (22%)
