FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland

FC Nordsjaelland
#6 · Superliga
DLDWD
VS
Right to Dream Park, Farum

FC Midtjylland
#2 · Superliga
DDWWW
★ OUR PICK
FC Midtjylland to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over FC Nordsjaelland make FC Midtjylland the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.07
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.01 for FC Midtjylland to Win. Our model calculates a 43.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Nordsjaelland will face FC Midtjylland in the Superliga at Right to Dream Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Nordsjaelland has a 34.7% probability of winning this match. FC Midtjylland has a 43.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Midtjylland have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — FC Midtjylland43.7%2.01
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.7%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.39
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.62
13.2%
1-2
8.14
12.3%
2-2
10.00
10.1%
2-1
10.56
9.5%
0-1
10.84
9.3%
0-2
12.03
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.21 | Draw 3.79 | Away 2.01 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.64 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.11 | Under 1.70 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.39 | No 2.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.76 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.5%
Over 1.5 Goals83.4%
Over 2.5 Goals59.7%
Over 3.5 Goals44.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 45 | DWWWW | |
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 | WDDLD | |
| 2 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 40 | LWLWL | |
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 46 | DDWWW | |
| 3 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 36 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 | LWLLL | |
| 5 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 31 | DLDDD | |
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 31 | DLDWD | |
| 6 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 18 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC NordsjaellandFC Midtjylland
1.44Goals p.g.1.6
1.22Goals conceded p.g.1.25
22%Clean sheets30%
50%Win rate45%
2.67Avg goals in match2.85
Recent Results
FC NordsjaellandLAST MATCHES
01 MayBrondby1–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
26 AprViborg1–0FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
23 AprFC Nordsjaelland1–1AarhusSuperliga
19 AprFC Nordsjaelland2–1ViborgSuperliga
10 AprAarhus1–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
07 AprFC Nordsjaelland2–1BrondbySuperliga
9Win50%
5Draw28%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESFC Midtjylland
04 MayFC Midtjylland3–3ViborgSuperliga
26 AprAarhus0–0FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
23 AprSonderjyske1–2FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
20 AprFC Midtjylland2–1AarhusSuperliga
12 AprBrondby1–2FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
04 AprFC Midtjylland2–2SonderjyskeSuperliga
9Win45%
7Draw35%
3Lost15%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FC Nordsjaelland
No reported absences
FC Midtjylland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (59.7%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (62%)
Value Bets
FC Nordsjaelland Win3.21 (34.7%)
FC Midtjylland Win2.01 (43.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.65 (40.3%)
BTTS No2.72 (38%)
Speculative
Draw3.79 (21.6%)









