FC Krasnodar vs Baltika
FC Krasnodar
#2 · Premier League
DDWWW
2 - 2
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Referee: K. Levnikov
Baltika
#4 · Premier League
WDDDW
★ OUR PICK
FC Krasnodar to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Baltika make FC Krasnodar the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.66
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for FC Krasnodar to Win. Our model calculates a 57.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Krasnodar will face Baltika in the Premier League at Ozon Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Krasnodar has a 57.2% probability of winning this match. Baltika has a 21.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Krasnodar have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Krasnodar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Baltika are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- FC Krasnodar average 2.2 goals per game
- Baltika have a solid defence with 0.8 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — FC Krasnodar57.2%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.3%1.85
Both Teams to Score
No51.8%1.72
Based on avg. implied odds from 5 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.44
18.4%
2-0
6.21
16.1%
1-1
7.18
13.9%
2-1
7.81
12.8%
0-0
9.29
10.8%
3-0
10.45
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.57 | Draw 4.05 | Away 5.95 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.04 | Under 1.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.33 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.50 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.04 | No 1.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.24 | X2 2.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.4%
Over 1.5 Goals71.8%
Over 2.5 Goals47.7%
Over 3.5 Goals26.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 | FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 | Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC KrasnodarBaltika
2.18Goals p.g.1.31
0.94Goals conceded p.g.0.75
41%Clean sheets44%
59%Win rate44%
3.12Avg goals in match2.06
Recent Results
FC KrasnodarLAST MATCHES
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
08 AprDynamo0–0FC KrasnodarCup
04 AprAkhmat0–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
28 MarFC Krasnodar4–0AmkalFriendlies Clubs
21 MarFC Krasnodar5–0Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
17 MarFC Krasnodar4–0CSKA MoscowCup
10Win59%
3Draw18%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESBaltika
23 AprAkhmat0–1BaltikaPremier League
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
21 MarBaltika4–0FC SochiPremier League
14 MarBaltika1–0CSKA MoscowPremier League
7Win44%
6Draw38%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Krasnodar4-2-3-1Confirmed
15Lucas OlazaDEF
20Giovanni GonzálezDEF
3Vítor TormenaDEF
4Diego CostaDEF
9Jhon CordobaFWD
1Stanislav AgkatsevGK
53Aleksandr ChernikovMID
88Nikita KrivtsovMID
23Juan Manuel BoselliMID
11João BatxiMID
10Eduard SpertsyanMID
Substitutes
30Stepan SadchikovDEF
59Artem KhmarinDEF
5JubalDEF
17Valentin PaltsevDEF
90Moses David CobnanFWD
29Eldar GuseynovFWD
16Aleksandr KoryakinGK
34Andrey KarpenkoGK
27Efim BurkinMID
Baltika3-4-3Confirmed
4Nathan GassamaDEF
23Mingiyan BeveevDEF
26Ivan BelikovDEF
18Derik LacerdaFWD
22Nikolay TitkovFWD
73Maksim PetrovFWD
81Ivan KukushkinGK
25Aleksandr FilinMID
2Sergey VaratynovMID
10Ilya PetrovMID
16Kevin AndradeMID
Substitutes
21Eduardo AndersonDEF
68Mikhail RyadnoDEF
91Brayan GilFWD
90Nnamdi Chinonso OfforFWD
69Irakliy ManelovFWD
36Andrey TsitsilinGK
44Egor LyubakovGK
42Vladislav PospelovMID
5Aymane MouridMID
11Yuriy KovalevMID
8Andrey MendelMID
14Stefan KovačMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersFC Krasnodar4
A. Koksharov
Missing FixtureInjury
K. Lenini
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Petrov
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
V. Stezhko
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Baltika3
B. Gil
Missing FixtureInactive
E. Civic
Missing FixtureInactive
T. Yenne
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
FC Krasnodar Win1.57 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (47.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (52.3%)
Both Teams Score2.04 (48.2%)
BTTS No1.72 (51.8%)
Speculative
Draw4.05 (21%)
Baltika Win5.95 (21.8%)
