Dynamo vs Rubin
Dynamo
#8 · Premier League
LDDDL
0 - 1
VTB Arena, Moscow
Referee: S. Karasev
Rubin
#7 · Premier League
DWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.08
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.05 (implied 48.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 52.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.92. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Dynamo will face Rubin in the Premier League at VTB Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Dynamo has a 51.5% probability of winning this match. Rubin has a 27.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rubin have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Rubin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Rubin have a solid defence with 0.4 goals conceded per game
- Rubin have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Dynamo51.5%1.58
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.2%2.05
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.1%1.88
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.48
15.5%
2-0
7.08
14.1%
1-1
7.21
13.9%
2-1
7.48
13.4%
3-0
11.27
8.9%
3-1
11.94
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.58 | Draw 4.18 | Away 5.71 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 2.05 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.00 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.88 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.41 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.9%
Over 1.5 Goals75.3%
Over 2.5 Goals47.8%
Over 3.5 Goals31.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 7 | Rubin | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 38 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Dynamo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 35 | LDWDL |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonDynamoRubin
1.59Goals p.g.1.36
1.24Goals conceded p.g.0.43
24%Clean sheets50%
29%Win rate57%
2.82Avg goals in match1.79
Recent Results
DynamoLAST MATCHES
22 AprDynamo0–1RubinPremier League
18 AprNizhny Novgorod1–1DynamoPremier League
08 AprDynamo0–0FC KrasnodarCup
04 AprDynamo3–3FC OrenburgPremier League
22 MarDynamo1–3ZenitPremier League
18 MarSpartak Moscow1–0DynamoCup
5Win29%
7Draw41%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESRubin
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
06 AprFC Sochi0–1RubinPremier League
22 MarKrylia Sovetov0–0RubinPremier League
15 MarRubin3–0LokomotivPremier League
08 MarRubin2–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
28 FebDinamo Makhachkala2–1RubinPremier League
8Win57%
2Draw14%
2Lost14%
Lineups
ConfirmedDynamo4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Nicolás MarichalDEF
4Juan CáceresDEF
7Dmitri SkopintsevDEF
57David RicardoDEF
70Konstantin TyukavinFWD
31Igor LeshchukGK
15Daniil GlebovMID
74Daniil FominMID
91Yaroslav GladyshevMID
21Anton MiranchukMID
10BitelloMID
Substitutes
5Milan MajstorovićDEF
56Leon ZaydenzalDEF
79Maksim BalakhonovDEF
55Maksim OsipenkoDEF
17Ulvi BabaevFWD
33Ivan SergeevFWD
11Arthur GomesFWD
47Andrey KudravetsGK
40Kurban RasulovGK
88Viktor OkishorMID
24Luis ChávezMID
60Timofey MarinkinMID
Rubin3-4-3Confirmed
98Nikita LobovDEF
3Denil MaldonadoDEF
5Igor VujacicDEF
23Ruslan BezrukovFWD
43Jacques SiweFWD
11Nazmi GripshiFWD
38Evgeni StaverGK
12Anderson ArroyoMID
22Veldin HodžaMID
7Ignacio SaavedraMID
51Ilya RozhkovMID
Substitutes
70Dmitri KabutovDEF
4Konstantin NizhegorodovDEF
27Aleksey GritsaenkoDEF
25Artur NigmatullinGK
1Aleksey KenyaykinGK
59Daniil MotorinMID
19Oleg IvanovMID
96Nikita VasiljevMID
14Daler KuzyaevMID
77Aleksandar JukićMID
21Aleksandr ZotovMID
44Daniil KuznetsovMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersDynamo2
B. Zaynutdinov
Missing FixtureInjury
D. Aleksandrov
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Rubin4
A. Shvets
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
E. Teslenko
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
M. Daku
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
U. Iwu
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Dynamo Win1.58 (51.5%)
Rubin Win5.71 (27.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (47.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.05 (52.2%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (48.9%)
BTTS No1.88 (51.1%)
Speculative
Draw4.18 (20.9%)
