Dinamo Makhachkala vs Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
#13 · Premier League
LDLLW
0 - 1
Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Referee: I. Tanashev
Zenit
#1 · Premier League
DWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Dinamo Makhachkala will face Zenit in the Premier League at Anzhi Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Dinamo Makhachkala has a 23% probability of winning this match. Zenit has a 53.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Zenit have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Zenit are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Zenit sit 1st in the table, 12 places above their opponents
- Dinamo Makhachkala boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Zenit have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Zenit53.8%1.65
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.4%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No57.5%1.54
Based on avg. implied odds from 5 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
4.66
21.5%
0-2
6.16
16.2%
0-0
6.45
15.5%
1-1
6.64
15.1%
1-2
8.60
11.6%
1-0
10.78
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 6.12 | Draw 3.56 | Away 1.65 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.48 | Under 1.58 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.58 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.66 | Under 1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.36 | No 1.54 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.28 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.12 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86%
Over 1.5 Goals63.6%
Over 2.5 Goals39.6%
Over 3.5 Goals20.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 13 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 23 | LDDLW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonDinamo MakhachkalaZenit
1.6Goals p.g.1.67
0.73Goals conceded p.g.0.61
53%Clean sheets61%
60%Win rate72%
2.33Avg goals in match2.28
Recent Results
Dinamo MakhachkalaLAST MATCHES
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
21 MarCSKA Moscow3–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
18 MarZenit1–0Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
13 MarDinamo Makhachkala1–0FC OrenburgPremier League
08 MarKrylia Sovetov2–0Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
9Win60%
2Draw13%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESZenit
22 AprLokomotiv0–0ZenitPremier League
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
04 AprZenit2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
28 MarZenit2–0Kairat AlmatyFriendlies Clubs
22 MarDynamo1–3ZenitPremier League
13Win72%
3Draw17%
2Lost11%
Lineups
ConfirmedDinamo Makhachkala4-4-2Confirmed
24Andrés AlarcónDEF
5Jemal TabidzeDEF
43Ilyas AkhmedovDEF
22Mohamed AzziDEF
11MiroFWD
10Mohammadjavad HosseinnejadFWD
27David VolkGK
77Temirkan SundukovMID
6El Mehdi MoubarikMID
16Houssem Eddine MrezigueMID
47Nikita GlushkovMID
Substitutes
13Soslan KagermazovDEF
99Mutalip AlibekovDEF
75Arsen ShikhalievDEF
28Serder SerderovFWD
25Gamid AgalarovFWD
55Dja Eddine MechidFWD
39Timur MagomedovGK
33Nikita KarabashevGK
70Abdulla AshurovMID
9Razhab MagomedovMID
21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovMID
19Kirill ZinovichMID
Zenit4-1-4-1Confirmed
3Douglas SantosDEF
78Igor DiveevDEF
6Vanja DrkušićDEF
33NinoDEF
7Aleksandr SobolevFWD
16Denis AdamovGK
5Wilmar BarriosMID
11Luiz HenriqueMID
10Maksim GlushenkovMID
8WendelMID
14Jhon JhonMID
Substitutes
4Yuri GorshkovDEF
23Arsen AdamovDEF
28Nuraly AlipDEF
15Vyacheslav KaravaevDEF
66Román VegaDEF
20PedroFWD
1Evgeny LatyshonokGK
57Bogdan MoskvichevGK
61Daniil KondakovMID
21Aleksandr ErokhinMID
18Yaroslav MikhailovMID
17Andrey MostovoyMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersDinamo Makhachkala5
A. Sandrachuk
Missing FixtureInactive
H. Mastouri
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
I. Shumakhov
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Moubarik
QuestionableInjury
Miro
QuestionableInjury
Zenit3
Gustavo Mantuan
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Pedrinho
Missing FixtureRed Card
V. Shilov
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.58 (60.4%)
BTTS No1.54 (57.5%)
Value Bets
Zenit Win1.65 (53.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.48 (39.6%)
Both Teams Score2.36 (42.5%)
Speculative
Dinamo Makhachkala Win6.12 (23%)
Draw3.56 (23.3%)
