Dender vs Cercle Brugge
Dender
#16 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLLD
1 - 4
Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Referee: J. Boterberg
Cercle Brugge
#14 · Jupiler Pro League
WDWLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Dender will face Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League at Dender Football Complex.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Dender has a 29.5% probability of winning this match. Cercle Brugge has a 48.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Cercle Brugge48.8%1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.4%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.2%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.62
15.2%
1-2
7.45
13.5%
0-1
7.87
12.8%
0-2
9.05
11.1%
2-1
11.55
8.8%
2-2
11.82
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.83 | Draw 3.71 | Away 1.84 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.68 | Under 2.15 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.20 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.66 | Under 1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.19 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.92 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.23 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals77.8%
Over 2.5 Goals54.4%
Over 3.5 Goals35.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonDenderCercle Brugge
0.71Goals p.g.1.64
1.64Goals conceded p.g.1.5
29%Clean sheets29%
14%Win rate43%
2.36Avg goals in match3.14
Recent Results
DenderLAST MATCHES
19 AprDender1–4Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
06 AprRAAL La Louvière0–1DenderJupiler Pro League
22 MarDender1–3GentJupiler Pro League
14 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–0DenderJupiler Pro League
07 MarDender2–2CharleroiJupiler Pro League
01 MarCercle Brugge0–0DenderJupiler Pro League
2Win14%
3Draw21%
8Lost57%
LAST MATCHESCercle Brugge
19 AprDender1–4Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
04 AprZulte Waregem2–2Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
22 MarAnderlecht2–3Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
15 MarCercle Brugge1–3RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
08 MarSt. Truiden2–1Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
01 MarCercle Brugge0–0DenderJupiler Pro League
6Win43%
4Draw29%
4Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDender
No reported absences
Cercle Brugge
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.61 (56.2%)
Value Bets
Dender Win3.83 (29.5%)
Cercle Brugge Win1.84 (48.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (54.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.15 (45.6%)
BTTS No2.19 (43.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.71 (21.8%)
