Cremonese vs Torino
Cremonese
#17 · Serie A
DLWLL
0 - 0
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Referee: M. Fabbri
Torino
#12 · Serie A
DWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.71
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cremonese will face Torino in the Serie A at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cremonese has a 34.9% probability of winning this match. Torino has a 39.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Torino have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Torino39.5%2.75
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.1%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.65
17.8%
0-1
7.31
13.7%
1-0
7.46
13.5%
0-0
7.66
13.1%
1-2
9.64
10.4%
2-1
9.83
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.77 | Draw 3.02 | Away 2.75 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.24 | Under 1.66 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.38 | Under 2.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.00 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.86 | No 1.88 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.45 | 12 1.36 | X2 1.43 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.7%
Over 1.5 Goals67.7%
Over 2.5 Goals45.9%
Over 3.5 Goals23.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 12 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 40 | DWWLW |
| 17 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 28 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCremoneseTorino
0.57Goals p.g.1.33
1.79Goals conceded p.g.1.73
29%Clean sheets27%
7%Win rate40%
2.36Avg goals in match3.07
Recent Results
CremoneseLAST MATCHES
19 AprCremonese0–0TorinoSerie A
05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
16 MarCremonese1–4FiorentinaSerie A
08 MarLecce2–1CremoneseSerie A
01 MarCremonese0–2AC MilanSerie A
1Win7%
4Draw29%
9Lost64%
LAST MATCHESTorino
19 AprCremonese0–0TorinoSerie A
11 AprTorino2–1Hellas VeronaSerie A
05 AprPisa0–1TorinoSerie A
21 MarAC Milan3–2TorinoSerie A
13 MarTorino4–1ParmaSerie A
06 MarNapoli2–1TorinoSerie A
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
Lineups
ConfirmedCremonese4-4-2Confirmed
3Giuseppe PezzellaDEF
5Sebastiano LupertoDEF
24Filippo TerraccianoDEF
6Federico BaschirottoDEF
99Antonio SanabriaFWD
90Federico BonazzoliFWD
1Emil AuderoGK
33Alberto GrassiMID
22Romano Floriani MussoliniMID
38Warren BondoMID
27Jari VandeputteMID
Substitutes
15Matteo BianchettiDEF
55Francesco FolinoDEF
30Mikayil FayeDEF
4Tommaso BarbieriDEF
23Federico CeccheriniDEF
9Milan ĐurićFWD
77David OkerekeFWD
7Alessio ZerbinFWD
69Lapo NavaGK
16Marco SilvestriGK
32Martín PayeroMID
21Simone Lottici TessadriMID
Torino3-4-1-2Confirmed
77Enzo EbosseDEF
13Guillermo MaripanDEF
23Saúl CocoDEF
19Che AdamsFWD
18Giovanni SimeoneFWD
10Nikola VlašićFWD
1Alberto PaleariGK
16Marcus PedersenMID
22Cesare CasadeiMID
66Gvidas GineitisMID
33Rafael ObradorMID
Substitutes
35Luca MarianucciDEF
20Valentino LazaroDEF
34Cristiano BiraghiDEF
92Alieu NjieFWD
17Sandro KulenovićFWD
99Lapo SivieroGK
81Franco IsraelGK
61Adrien TamezeMID
14Faustino AnjorinMID
4Matteo PratiMID
6Emirhan İlkhanMID
8Ivan IlićMID
Unavailable Players
11 playersCremonese5
F. Moumbagna
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
J. Vardy
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Collocolo
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Thorsby
Missing FixtureInjury
Y. Maleh
Missing FixtureRed Card
Torino6
A. Ismajli
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
D. Zapata
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
E. Ebosse
QuestionableInjury
N. Nkounkou
Missing FixtureInjury
Z. Aboukhlal
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Z. Savva
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Cremonese Win2.77 (34.9%)
Draw3.02 (25.6%)
Torino Win2.75 (39.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.24 (45.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.66 (54.1%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (51.8%)
BTTS No1.88 (48.2%)
