Coventry vs Wrexham
Coventry
#1 · Championship
WDDWW
3 - 1
Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Referee: S. Allison
Wrexham
#6 · Championship
WWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Coventry will face Wrexham in the Championship at Coventry Building Society Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Coventry has a 48.9% probability of winning this match. Wrexham has a 29.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Coventry have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Coventry are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Wrexham have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Coventry have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Coventry48.9%2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.1%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.67
15.1%
2-1
8.11
12.4%
1-0
8.47
11.8%
1-2
10.31
9.8%
2-0
10.60
9.5%
0-1
10.68
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.08 | Draw 3.69 | Away 3.18 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.71 | Under 2.11 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.06 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.74 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.22 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.32 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.71 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.9%
Over 1.5 Goals76.9%
Over 2.5 Goals56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals34.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 | Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCoventryWrexham
1.88Goals p.g.1.71
0.81Goals conceded p.g.1.59
44%Clean sheets35%
62%Win rate59%
2.69Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
CoventryLAST MATCHES
21 AprCoventry5–1PortsmouthChampionship
11 AprCoventry0–0Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
06 AprHull City0–0CoventryChampionship
03 AprCoventry3–2DerbyChampionship
21 MarSwansea0–3CoventryChampionship
14 MarCoventry1–2SouthamptonChampionship
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESWrexham
21 AprOxford United0–1WrexhamChampionship
18 AprWrexham2–0Stoke CityChampionship
07 AprWrexham1–5SouthamptonChampionship
03 AprWest Brom2–2WrexhamChampionship
21 MarSheffield Utd1–2WrexhamChampionship
17 MarWatford3–1WrexhamChampionship
10Win59%
2Draw12%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersCoventry3
M. Brau
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
O. Dovin
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
T. Sakamoto
Missing FixtureInactive
Wrexham5
A. James
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
B. Sheaf
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
L. Cacace
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
T. O'Connor
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Z. Vyner
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (56.1%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (58.4%)
Value Bets
Coventry Win2.08 (48.9%)
Wrexham Win3.18 (29.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (43.9%)
BTTS No2.22 (41.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.69 (21.8%)
