Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#2 · Super League
WWWDW
1 - 1
Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing
Qingdao Youth Island
#9 · Super League
DDLWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.87
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.84 (implied 54.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.83. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Chongqing Tongliang Long will face Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long has a 53.4% probability of winning this match. Qingdao Youth Island has a 23.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Chongqing Tongliang Long are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chongqing Tongliang Long have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Chongqing Tongliang Long53.4%1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.6%1.84
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.2%1.95
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
15.9%
1-0
7.07
14.2%
2-1
7.92
12.7%
2-0
8.88
11.3%
0-0
9.10
11.2%
0-1
10.43
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.91 | Draw 3.42 | Away 3.81 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.93 | Under 1.84 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.29 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.22 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.95 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.24 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.3%
Over 1.5 Goals72%
Over 2.5 Goals45.4%
Over 3.5 Goals28.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 9 | Qingdao Youth Island | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 | DDDLW |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonChongqing Tongliang LongQingdao Youth Island
1.2Goals p.g.1
0.93Goals conceded p.g.1.47
47%Clean sheets27%
53%Win rate33%
2.13Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Chongqing Tongliang LongLAST MATCHES
21 AprSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
11 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–1Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
05 AprHangzhou Greentown0–1Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
21 MarChongqing Tongliang Long3–3Chengdu Better CitySuper League
14 MarChongqing Tongliang Long1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
07 MarTianjin Teda0–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
8Win53%
4Draw27%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESQingdao Youth Island
22 AprQingdao Youth Island0–0Henan JianyeSuper League
11 AprQingdao Youth Island1–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
03 AprChengdu Better City5–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
21 MarQingdao Youth Island1–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
15 MarSHANGHAI SIPG4–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
08 MarHangzhou Greentown2–0Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
5Win33%
4Draw27%
6Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Qingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win1.91 (53.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.93 (45.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.84 (54.6%)
Both Teams Score1.76 (49.8%)
BTTS No1.95 (50.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (23.4%)
Qingdao Youth Island Win3.81 (23.1%)
