Chengdu Better City vs Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
#1 · Super League
WWWWW
VS
Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Henan Jianye
#10 · Super League
DWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Chengdu Better City to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Henan Jianye make Chengdu Better City the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Chengdu Better City to Win. Our model calculates a 59.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Chengdu Better City will face Henan Jianye in the Super League at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Chengdu Better City has a 59.7% probability of winning this match. Henan Jianye has a 20.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Chengdu Better City are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chengdu Better City sit 1st in the table, 9 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Chengdu Better City59.7%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.8%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.67
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.73
13%
2-0
7.93
12.6%
1-1
8.09
12.4%
1-0
8.20
12.2%
3-0
10.81
9.3%
3-1
10.92
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.54 | Draw 4.26 | Away 5.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.59 | Under 2.29 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.53 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.42 | Under 1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.67 | No 2.07 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals79.4%
Over 2.5 Goals56.8%
Over 3.5 Goals38.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 11 | WDLWD |
| 6 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 10 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Henan Jianye | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 6 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 3 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 0 | DDWLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonChengdu Better CityHenan Jianye
1.79Goals p.g.1.37
1.32Goals conceded p.g.1.16
26%Clean sheets21%
47%Win rate37%
3.11Avg goals in match2.53
Recent Results
Chengdu Better CityLAST MATCHES
05 MayShenyang Urban0–1Chengdu Better CitySuper League
01 MayShanghai Shenhua2–3Chengdu Better CitySuper League
25 AprChengdu Better City4–0Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
21 AprChengdu Better City2–1Yunnan YukunSuper League
17 AprWuhan Three Towns0–1Chengdu Better CitySuper League
12 AprBeijing Guoan1–2Chengdu Better CitySuper League
9Win47%
6Draw32%
4Lost21%
LAST MATCHESHenan Jianye
05 MayChongqing Tongliang Long1–1Henan JianyeSuper League
01 MayHenan Jianye4–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
26 AprHenan Jianye0–3Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
22 AprQingdao Youth Island0–0Henan JianyeSuper League
18 AprDalian Zhixing2–1Henan JianyeSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
7Win37%
6Draw32%
6Lost32%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChengdu Better City
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Chengdu Better City Win1.54 (59.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.59 (56.8%)
Both Teams Score1.67 (56%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (43.2%)
BTTS No2.07 (44%)
Speculative
Draw4.26 (19.8%)
Henan Jianye Win5.13 (20.5%)
