Charlton vs Ipswich
Charlton
#21 · Championship
DDLLD
1 - 2
The Valley, London
Referee: R. Madley
Ipswich
#3 · Championship
WDLWW
★ OUR PICK
Ipswich to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over Charlton make Ipswich the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Ipswich to Win. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Charlton will face Ipswich in the Championship at The Valley.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Charlton has a 21.4% probability of winning this match. Ipswich has a 57.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Ipswich have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Ipswich sit 3rd in the table, 18 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
2 — Ipswich57.3%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553%1.87
Both Teams to Score
No51.6%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.92
16.9%
0-2
6.70
15%
1-1
7.09
14.2%
1-2
7.67
13.1%
0-0
9.76
10.3%
0-3
10.66
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 5.93 | Draw 3.94 | Away 1.55 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.91 | Under 1.87 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.45 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.28 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.91 | No 1.81 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.35 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.12 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals72.9%
Over 2.5 Goals47%
Over 3.5 Goals28.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 21 | Charlton | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 50 | LDLDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCharltonIpswich
0.8Goals p.g.1.65
1.07Goals conceded p.g.1.29
33%Clean sheets29%
27%Win rate47%
1.87Avg goals in match2.94
Recent Results
CharltonLAST MATCHES
18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship
06 AprWatford1–1CharltonChampionship
03 AprCharlton1–2Bristol CityChampionship
21 MarCharlton0–1NorwichChampionship
14 MarOxford United1–1CharltonChampionship
11 MarMiddlesbrough0–1CharltonChampionship
4Win27%
6Draw40%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESIpswich
22 AprCharlton1–2IpswichChampionship
19 AprIpswich2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 AprPortsmouth2–0IpswichChampionship
11 AprNorwich0–2IpswichChampionship
06 AprIpswich2–1BirminghamChampionship
21 MarIpswich1–1MillwallChampionship
8Win47%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%
Lineups
ConfirmedCharlton3-4-2-1Confirmed
17Amari'i BellDEF
5Lloyd JonesDEF
3Macaulay GillespheyDEF
77Jayden FevrierFWD
7Tyreece CampbellFWD
23Charlie KelmanFWD
1Thomas KaminskiGK
6Conor CoventryMID
26Joe Rankin-CostelloMID
10Greg DochertyMID
28Collins SichenjeMID
Substitutes
19Luke ChambersDEF
15Conor CoadyDEF
32Reece BurkeDEF
99Lyndon DykesFWD
24Matt GoddenFWD
25William MannionGK
41Harvey KnibbsMID
8Luke BerryMID
14Sonny CareyMID
Ipswich4-2-3-1Confirmed
19Darnell FurlongDEF
18Ben JohnsonDEF
24Jacob GreavesDEF
26Dara O'SheaDEF
31Ivan AzónFWD
28Christian WaltonGK
5Azor MatusiwaMID
11Jaden Philogene-BidaceMID
33Anis MehmetiMID
20Kasey McAteerMID
14Jack TaylorMID
Substitutes
4Cédric KipréDEF
9George HirstFWD
8Sindre Walle EgeliFWD
47Jack ClarkeFWD
29Chuba AkpomFWD
1Alex PalmerGK
12Jens CajusteMID
6Dan NeilMID
32Marcelino NúñezMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersCharlton2
J. Edwards
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
K. Ramsay
Missing FixtureInactive
Ipswich4
A. Young
Missing FixtureHip Injury
C. Townsend
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Button
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
W. Burns
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Ipswich Win1.55 (57.3%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (47%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (53%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (48.4%)
BTTS No1.81 (51.6%)
Speculative
Charlton Win5.93 (21.4%)
Draw3.94 (21.4%)
