Charlton vs Hull City

ChampionshipRegular Season - 45

Charlton

#21 · Championship

DDLLD

2 - 1

The Valley, London

Referee: T. Nield

Hull City

#7 · Championship

DDDWL

33.2%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

41.9%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.91

BEST ODDS

Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.86 (implied 53.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.82. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Charlton will face Hull City in the Championship at The Valley.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Charlton has a 33.2% probability of winning this match. Hull City has a 41.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.9%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Hull City sit 7th in the table, 14 places above their opponents
Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Hull City41.9%2.43

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.554.8%1.86

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes51.5%1.69

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

5.88

17.1%

0-1

7.94

12.6%

1-2

8.76

11.5%

1-0

8.89

11.3%

0-0

9.33

10.7%

2-1

9.72

10.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.94	Draw 3.19	Away 2.43
O/U 2.5	Over 1.92	Under 1.86
O/U 1.5	Over 1.29	Under 3.44
O/U 3.5	Over 3.26	Under 1.31
BTTS	Yes 1.69	No 2.08
Double Chance	1X 1.53	12 1.32	X2 1.38

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

90.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

72.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

45.2%

Over 3.5 Goals

28.7%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Coventry	44	26	11	7	90	44	46	89	WDDDW
2	Millwall	45	23	11	11	61	48	13	80	WWDLW
3	Ipswich	43	22	13	8	75	45	30	79	WDLWW
4	Southampton	44	21	13	10	77	53	24	76	DWWWW
5	Middlesbrough	44	21	13	10	65	44	21	76	WDLDL
6	Wrexham	44	19	13	12	66	60	6	70	WWLLD
7	Hull City	44	20	10	14	67	63	4	70	DDLDD
21	Charlton	44	12	14	18	41	54	-13	50	LDLDL
22	Oxford United	44	10	14	20	41	56	-15	44	LLWDD
23	Leicester	45	11	16	18	56	67	-11	43	DLLDD
24	Sheffield Wednesday	44	1	12	31	26	84	-58	-3	LDDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season

CharltonHull City

0.8Goals p.g.1.13

1.07Goals conceded p.g.1.53

33%Clean sheets27%

27%Win rate33%

1.87Avg goals in match2.67

Recent Results

CharltonLAST MATCHES

18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship

06 AprWatford1–1CharltonChampionship

03 AprCharlton1–2Bristol CityChampionship

21 MarCharlton0–1NorwichChampionship

14 MarOxford United1–1CharltonChampionship

11 MarMiddlesbrough0–1CharltonChampionship

4Win27%

6Draw40%

5Lost33%

LAST MATCHESHull City

18 AprHull City1–1BirminghamChampionship

06 AprHull City0–0CoventryChampionship

03 AprOxford United1–1Hull CityChampionship

21 MarHull City3–1Sheffield WednesdayChampionship

14 MarWest Brom3–0Hull CityChampionship

10 MarWrexham1–2Hull CityChampionship

5Win33%

4Draw27%

6Lost40%

Lineups

Confirmed

Charlton3-5-2Confirmed

28Collins SichenjeDEF

3Macaulay GillespheyDEF

5Lloyd JonesDEF

23Charlie KelmanFWD

41Harvey KnibbsFWD

1Thomas KaminskiGK

44Harry ClarkeMID

14Sonny CareyMID

15Conor CoadyMID

10Greg DochertyMID

77Jayden FevrierMID

Substitutes

32Reece BurkeDEF

19Luke ChambersDEF

7Tyreece CampbellFWD

11Miles LeaburnFWD

99Lyndon DykesFWD

25William MannionGK

6Conor CoventryMID

8Luke BerryMID

26Joe Rankin-CostelloMID

Hull City4-2-3-1Confirmed

6Semi AjayiDEF

3Ryan GilesDEF

15John EganDEF

2Lewie CoyleDEF

9Oli McBurnieFWD

1Ivor PandurGK

5John LundstramMID

7Liam MillarMID

21Joe GelhardtMID

8Eliot MatazoMID

25Matt CrooksMID

Substitutes

4Charlie HughesDEF

37Paddy McNairDEF

23Akin FamewoDEF

22Kyle JosephFWD

36Lewis KoumasFWD

10Mohamed BelloumiFWD

12Dillon PhillipsGK

26Kieran DowellMID

27Regan SlaterMID

Unavailable Players

7 players

Charlton4

✕A. Bell

QuestionableInjury

✕J. Edwards

Missing FixtureAnkle Injury

✕K. Ramsay

QuestionableInactive

✕T. Campbell

QuestionableInjury

Hull City3

✕C. Drameh

Missing FixtureInjury

✕D. Gyabi

QuestionableInactive

✕T. Collyer

Missing FixtureInactive

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets

Charlton Win2.94 (33.2%)

Hull City Win2.43 (41.9%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (45.2%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (54.8%)

Both Teams Score1.69 (51.5%)

BTTS No2.08 (48.5%)

●Speculative

Draw3.19 (24.9%)