Charleroi vs Standard Liege
Charleroi
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLLL
1 - 2
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee: B. Van Driessche
Standard Liege
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.90
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Charleroi will face Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Charleroi has a 45.6% probability of winning this match. Standard Liege has a 30.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Charleroi45.6%1.99
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.5%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.97
16.9%
1-0
6.52
15.4%
2-1
7.83
12.9%
2-0
8.57
11.8%
0-0
8.85
11.3%
0-1
9.46
10.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.99 | Draw 3.34 | Away 3.71 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.00 | Under 1.80 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.45 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.80 | No 1.92 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals71.7%
Over 2.5 Goals49.5%
Over 3.5 Goals27.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 | Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Charleroi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 21 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCharleroiStandard Liege
1.27Goals p.g.1.25
1.67Goals conceded p.g.1.38
27%Clean sheets25%
27%Win rate38%
2.93Avg goals in match2.62
Recent Results
CharleroiLAST MATCHES
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
10 AprCharleroi2–1AntwerpJupiler Pro League
05 AprKVC Westerlo2–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
22 MarZulte Waregem1–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
14 MarCharleroi0–2OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
07 MarDender2–2CharleroiJupiler Pro League
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESStandard Liege
21 AprStandard Liege1–2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
11 AprStandard Liege1–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
04 AprOH Leuven1–3Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
22 MarStandard Liege0–0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
15 MarAntwerp1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
6Win38%
4Draw25%
6Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedCharleroi4-2-3-1Confirmed
3Kevin Van Den KerkhofDEF
24Mardochee NzitaDEF
95Cheick KeitaDEF
4Aiham OusouDEF
25Antoine ColassinFWD
30Mohamed KonéGK
56Amine BoukamirMID
5Etienne CamaraMID
17Antoine BernierMID
27Lewin BlumMID
14Patrick PfluckeMID
Substitutes
32Mehdi BoukamirDEF
23Jules GaudinDEF
43Quentin BenaetsFWD
9Filip SzymczakFWD
21Aurélien ScheidlerFWD
55Martin DelavalléeGK
40Yassine KhalifiMID
45Yoann CisséMID
8Jakob Napoleon RomsaasMID
Standard Liege3-4-3Confirmed
4David BatesDEF
24Josué HomawooDEF
25Ibe HautekietDEF
11Adnane AbidFWD
17Rafiki SaïdFWD
10Dennis Eckert AyensaFWD
1Matthieu EpoloGK
18Henry LawrenceMID
3Gustav MortensenMID
23Marco IlaimaharitraMID
94Casper NielsenMID
Substitutes
8Nayel MehssatouDEF
20Ibrahim KaramokoDEF
29Daan DierckxDEF
26Bernard NgueneFWD
59Timothee NkadaFWD
19René MitongoFWD
21Lucas PirardGK
7Tobias MohrMID
53Steeven AssengueMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersCharleroi
No reported absences
Standard Liege
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Charleroi Win1.99 (45.6%)
Standard Liege Win3.71 (30.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.00 (49.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.80 (50.5%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (53.5%)
BTTS No1.92 (46.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (23.5%)
