Cercle Brugge vs Dender
Cercle Brugge
#14 · Jupiler Pro League
WDWLL
2 - 1
Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Referee: M. Allaerts
Dender
#16 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cercle Brugge will face Dender in the Jupiler Pro League at Jan Breydel Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cercle Brugge has a 65.1% probability of winning this match. Dender has a 17% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.9%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Cercle Brugge65.1%1.37
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.1%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.56
13.4%
2-0
7.65
13.2%
1-0
8.79
11.4%
1-1
9.18
11%
3-0
9.42
10.7%
3-1
9.50
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.37 | Draw 5.01 | Away 6.83 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.73 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.76 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.11 | Under 1.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.15 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.14 | X2 2.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.6%
Over 1.5 Goals83.7%
Over 2.5 Goals60.1%
Over 3.5 Goals44.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCercle BruggeDender
1.64Goals p.g.0.71
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.64
29%Clean sheets29%
43%Win rate14%
3.14Avg goals in match2.36
Recent Results
Cercle BruggeLAST MATCHES
19 AprDender1–4Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
04 AprZulte Waregem2–2Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
22 MarAnderlecht2–3Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
15 MarCercle Brugge1–3RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
08 MarSt. Truiden2–1Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
01 MarCercle Brugge0–0DenderJupiler Pro League
6Win43%
4Draw29%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESDender
19 AprDender1–4Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
06 AprRAAL La Louvière0–1DenderJupiler Pro League
22 MarDender1–3GentJupiler Pro League
14 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–0DenderJupiler Pro League
07 MarDender2–2CharleroiJupiler Pro League
01 MarCercle Brugge0–0DenderJupiler Pro League
2Win14%
3Draw21%
8Lost57%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCercle Brugge
No reported absences
Dender
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Cercle Brugge Win1.37 (65.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (60.1%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (55.7%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.73 (39.9%)
BTTS No2.15 (44.3%)
Speculative
Draw5.01 (17.9%)
Dender Win6.83 (17%)
