Cagliari vs Atalanta

Serie ARegular Season - 34

Cagliari

#16 · Serie A

LLLLD

3 - 2

Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Referee: J. L. Sacchi

Atalanta

#7 · Serie A

DWWLD

24%

Home Win

21.7%

Draw

54.3%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.81

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Cagliari will face Atalanta in the Serie A at Unipol Domus.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cagliari has a 24% probability of winning this match. Atalanta has a 54.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Atalanta sit 7th in the table, 9 places above their opponents

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Atalanta54.3%1.77

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.552.6%1.86

Both Teams to Score

Yes54.6%1.77

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.75

14.9%

0-1

6.79

14.8%

1-2

7.70

13.1%

0-2

8.13

12.3%

0-0

11.03

9.2%

1-0

11.44

8.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 4.34	Draw 3.77	Away 1.77
O/U 2.5	Over 1.86	Under 1.96
O/U 1.5	Over 1.26	Under 3.65
O/U 3.5	Over 3.09	Under 1.35
BTTS	Yes 1.77	No 1.98
Double Chance	1X 2.02	12 1.25	X2 1.20

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

91.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

74.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

52.6%

Over 3.5 Goals

30.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	33	25	3	5	78	29	49	78	WWWDD
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	WLDWW
3	AC Milan	33	19	9	5	48	27	21	66	WLLWL
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	57	29	28	63	WWWDW
5	Como	33	16	10	7	57	28	29	58	LLDWW
6	AS Roma	33	18	4	11	46	29	17	58	DWLWL
7	Atalanta	33	14	12	7	45	29	16	54	DLWWD
16	Cagliari	33	8	9	16	33	47	-14	33	LWLLL
18	Lecce	33	7	7	19	22	46	-24	28	DLLLL
19	Hellas Verona	33	3	9	21	23	56	-33	18	LLLLL
20	Pisa	33	2	12	19	24	60	-36	18	LLLLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

CagliariAtalanta

1Goals p.g.1.73

1.46Goals conceded p.g.1.53

23%Clean sheets27%

23%Win rate47%

2.46Avg goals in match3.27

Recent Results

CagliariLAST MATCHES

04 AprSassuolo2–1CagliariSerie A

20 MarCagliari0–1NapoliSerie A

15 MarPisa3–1CagliariSerie A

07 MarCagliari1–2ComoSerie A

27 FebParma1–1CagliariSerie A

21 FebCagliari0–0LazioSerie A

3Win23%

3Draw23%

7Lost54%

LAST MATCHESAtalanta

18 AprAS Roma1–1AtalantaSerie A

06 AprLecce0–3AtalantaSerie A

22 MarAtalanta1–0Hellas VeronaSerie A

18 MarBayern München4–1AtalantaUEFA Champions League

14 MarInter1–1AtalantaSerie A

10 MarAtalanta1–6Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League

7Win47%

4Draw27%

4Lost27%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

6 players

Cagliari4

✕L. Mazzitelli

Missing FixtureInjury

✕L. Pavoletti

Missing FixtureInjury

✕M. Felici

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕R. Idrissi

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Atalanta2

✕I. Hien

QuestionableThigh Injury

✕L. Bernasconi

QuestionableInjury

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets

Atalanta Win1.77 (54.3%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.86 (52.6%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (47.4%)

Both Teams Score1.77 (54.6%)

BTTS No1.98 (45.4%)

●Speculative

Cagliari Win4.34 (24%)

Draw3.77 (21.7%)