Bristol City vs Norwich
Bristol City
#12 · Championship
LWWLD
2 - 4
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Referee: R. Ricardo
Norwich
#9 · Championship
WWLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bristol City will face Norwich in the Championship at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bristol City has a 36% probability of winning this match. Norwich has a 40.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Norwich have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Norwich40.3%2.49
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.4%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.92
16.9%
0-1
7.81
12.8%
1-0
8.30
12.1%
1-2
9.01
11.2%
0-0
9.12
11%
2-1
9.66
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.75 | Draw 3.30 | Away 2.49 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.97 | Under 1.83 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.32 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.38 | Under 1.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.73 | No 2.02 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.8%
Over 1.5 Goals71.8%
Over 2.5 Goals48.6%
Over 3.5 Goals27.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Norwich | 44 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 64 | WWLWD |
| 12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 59 | DLDWW |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBristol CityNorwich
1.07Goals p.g.1.61
1.67Goals conceded p.g.0.94
13%Clean sheets33%
33%Win rate67%
2.73Avg goals in match2.56
Recent Results
Bristol CityLAST MATCHES
18 AprBristol City2–4NorwichChampionship
06 AprBristol City1–0Sheffield UtdChampionship
03 AprCharlton1–2Bristol CityChampionship
21 MarBristol City0–1West BromChampionship
14 MarMiddlesbrough1–1Bristol CityChampionship
10 MarLeicester2–0Bristol CityChampionship
5Win33%
2Draw13%
8Lost53%
LAST MATCHESNorwich
21 AprNorwich2–1DerbyChampionship
18 AprBristol City2–4NorwichChampionship
11 AprNorwich0–2IpswichChampionship
06 AprMillwall1–2NorwichChampionship
03 AprNorwich1–1PortsmouthChampionship
21 MarCharlton0–1NorwichChampionship
12Win67%
1Draw6%
5Lost28%
Lineups
ConfirmedBristol City4-2-3-1Confirmed
3Cameron PringDEF
2Ross McCrorieDEF
38Noah EileDEF
21Neto BorgesDEF
18Emil Riis JacobsenFWD
23Radek VitekGK
17Mark SykesMID
10Scott TwineMID
4Adam RandellMID
12Jason KnightMID
40Sam MorsyMID
Substitutes
24Seb NaylorDEF
16Robert DickieDEF
19George TannerDEF
11Delano BurgzorgFWD
30Sinclair ArmstrongFWD
20Sam BellFWD
32Lewis ThomasGK
14Tomi HorvatMID
44George EarthyMID
Norwich4-2-3-1Confirmed
6Harry DarlingDEF
35Kellen FisherDEF
33José CórdobaDEF
8Liam GibbsDEF
37Mohamed TouréFWD
1Vladan KovačevićGK
29Oscar SchwartauMID
25Edmond-Paris MaghomaMID
21Ali AhmedMID
7Pelle MattssonMID
23Kenny McLeanMID
Substitutes
15Ruairi McConvilleDEF
3Jack StaceyDEF
30Mathias KvistgaardenFWD
46Errol Mundle-SmithFWD
32Daniel GrimshawGK
18Forson AmankwahMID
20Anis Ben SlimaneMID
26Sam FieldMID
16Jacob WrightMID
Unavailable Players
14 playersBristol City3
J. Williams
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
L. McNally
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Atkinson
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Norwich11
A. Crnac
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
B. Chrisene
Missing FixtureInactive
G. Forsyth
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
H. Amass
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
J. Makama
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
L. Mahovo
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
M. Jurasek
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
M. Topic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
P. A. Diallo
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Duffy
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
T. Springett
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Bristol City Win2.75 (36%)
Norwich Win2.49 (40.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.97 (48.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (51.4%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (52.8%)
BTTS No2.02 (47.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.30 (23.7%)
