Bologna vs AS Roma

Bologna
#8 · Serie A
LLWLW
0 - 2
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Referee: M. Di Bello

AS Roma
#6 · Serie A
DWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.81 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bologna will face AS Roma in the Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bologna has a 33.6% probability of winning this match. AS Roma has a 41.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — AS Roma41.8%2.23
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.5%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%1.81
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.83
17.2%
0-1
6.89
14.5%
1-2
8.52
11.8%
0-0
8.54
11.8%
1-0
8.92
11.2%
0-2
9.79
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.35 | Draw 3.19 | Away 2.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.10 | Under 1.74 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.34 | Under 3.15 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.73 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.93 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.64 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.1%
Over 1.5 Goals70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals47.5%
Over 3.5 Goals25.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW | |
| 3 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL | |
| 4 | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW | |
| 6 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL | |
| 8 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 | LWWLW | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL | |
| 19 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBolognaAS Roma
1.18Goals p.g.1.71
1.18Goals conceded p.g.1.35
35%Clean sheets35%
53%Win rate35%
2.35Avg goals in match3.06
Recent Results
BolognaLAST MATCHES
19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A
09 AprBologna1–3Aston VillaUEFA Europa League
05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A
22 MarBologna0–2LazioSerie A
19 MarAS Roma3–4BolognaUEFA Europa League
15 MarSassuolo0–1BolognaSerie A
9Win53%
2Draw12%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESAS Roma
18 AprAS Roma1–1AtalantaSerie A
10 AprAS Roma3–0PisaSerie A
05 AprInter5–2AS RomaSerie A
22 MarAS Roma1–0LecceSerie A
19 MarAS Roma3–4BolognaUEFA Europa League
15 MarComo2–1AS RomaSerie A
6Win35%
6Draw35%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
14 players
Bologna7
B. Dominguez
Missing FixtureHip Injury
E. Fauske Helland
QuestionableInjury
F. Bernardeschi
Missing FixtureHip Injury
K. Bonifazi
Missing FixtureInactive
L. Skorupski
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
N. Casale
Missing FixtureInjury
T. Dallinga
Missing FixtureInjury
AS Roma7
A. Dovbyk
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
D. Rensch
QuestionableInjury
E. Bove
Missing Fixtureheart problems
E. Ferguson
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
L. Pellegrini
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
M. Kone
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Wesley Franca
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Bologna Win3.35 (33.6%)
AS Roma Win2.23 (41.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.10 (47.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.74 (52.5%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (52.9%)
BTTS No1.93 (47.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.19 (24.6%)








