Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund

Bodo/Glimt
#5 · Eliteserien
DWLWW
3 - 0
Aspmyra Stadion, Bodo
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway

Aalesund
#16 · Eliteserien
LLDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 (implied 59.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.66. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bodo/Glimt will face Aalesund in the Eliteserien at Aspmyra Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bodo/Glimt has a 75.5% probability of winning this match. Aalesund has a 11.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 13.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Bodo/Glimt have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Bodo/Glimt sit 5th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
- Bodo/Glimt average 2.4 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.2 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Bodo/Glimt75.5%1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.573.6%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.2%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes3-0
8.05
12.5%
2-0
8.59
11.7%
3-1
9.29
10.9%
2-1
9.72
10.4%
4-0
9.81
10.3%
4-1
11.16
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.15 | Draw 7.90 | Away 13.61 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.92 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.06 | Under 8.57 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.61 | Under 2.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.69 | No 2.05 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.03 | 12 1.08 | X2 5.16 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals96.2%
Over 1.5 Goals88.9%
Over 2.5 Goals73.6%
Over 3.5 Goals57.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/GlimtAalesund
2.39Goals p.g.1.8
1.22Goals conceded p.g.1.8
33%Clean sheets20%
67%Win rate40%
3.61Avg goals in match3.6
Recent Results
Bodo/GlimtLAST MATCHES
22 AprBodo/Glimt1–1KFUM OsloNM Cupen
18 AprBodo/Glimt3–0AalesundEliteserien
11 AprViking5–0Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
06 AprKristiansund BK0–3Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
22 MarBodo/Glimt4–0LillestromNM Cupen
21 MarBodo/Glimt–Ham-KamEliteserien
12Win67%
2Draw11%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESAalesund
18 AprBodo/Glimt3–0AalesundEliteserien
07 AprAalesund2–3FredrikstadEliteserien
21 MarStart1–1AalesundEliteserien
18 MarViking1–2AalesundNM Cupen
15 MarAalesund1–3LillestromEliteserien
09 MarEgersund2–3AalesundNM Cupen
6Win40%
1Draw7%
8Lost53%
Lineups
Confirmed
Bodo/Glimt4-3-3Confirmed
5Haitam AleesamiDEF
4Odin Luras BjørtuftDEF
20Fredrik SjøvoldDEF
25Isak Dybvik MäättäDEF
9Kasper HøghFWD
10Jens Petter HaugeFWD
11Ole Didrik BlombergFWD
12Nikita HaikinGK
26Håkon EvjenMID
22Anders KlyngeMID
7Patrick BergMID
Substitutes
15Fredrik André BjørkanDEF
2Villads NielsenDEF
6Jostein GundersenDEF
21Andreas HelmersenFWD
24Daniel BassiFWD
77Mikkel Bro HansenFWD
1Julian Faye LundGK
8Sondre AuklendMID
19Sondre FetMID
Aalesund5-3-2Confirmed
4Simen HaramDEF
2Marius AndresenDEF
22Emil EngqvistDEF
5Aleksander KjelsenDEF
6Hakon Butli HammerDEF
39Kristian LonebuFWD
11Davíð Snær JóhannssonFWD
1Kristoffer KlaessonGK
7Kristoffer NessøMID
18Elias Kristoffersen HagenMID
15Endre Hjertager OsenbrochMID
Substitutes
25Ulrik SyversenDEF
16Jakob Nyland ÖrsahlDEF
20Ivan DjantouFWD
17Elias Heggland MyrlidFWD
26Tor Erik LarsenGK
8Henrik MellandMID
14Uba CharlesMID
21Mathias ChristensenMID
Unavailable Players
6 players
Bodo/Glimt3
M. Riisnaes
Missing FixtureIllness
O. Brynhildsen
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
U. Saltnes
Missing FixtureInjury
Aalesund3
J. Seehusen
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Kristensen
Missing FixtureInjury
P. Ngongo
Missing FixtureSurgery
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Bodo/Glimt Win1.15 (75.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.22 (73.6%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (60.2%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.92 (26.4%)
BTTS No2.05 (39.8%)
Speculative
Draw7.90 (13.3%)
Aalesund Win13.61 (11.2%)







