Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
#10 · Super League
WLLDL
2 - 4
Tianjin Teda
#16 · Super League
LLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Beijing Guoan will face Tianjin Teda in the Super League.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Beijing Guoan has a 67.5% probability of winning this match. Tianjin Teda has a 13.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Beijing Guoan average 2.1 goals per game
- Beijing Guoan have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Beijing Guoan67.5%1.43
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.1%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%1.68
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.66
13.1%
2-1
7.73
13%
1-0
8.28
12.1%
1-1
8.46
11.9%
3-0
10.08
9.9%
3-1
10.36
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.43 | Draw 4.42 | Away 6.42 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.55 | Under 2.35 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.65 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.31 | Under 1.54 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.06 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.10 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Over 2.5 Goals58.1%
Over 3.5 Goals40%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 10 | Beijing Guoan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | WDLLD |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBeijing GuoanTianjin Teda
2.07Goals p.g.1
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.43
40%Clean sheets29%
47%Win rate21%
3.33Avg goals in match2.43
Recent Results
Beijing GuoanLAST MATCHES
21 AprSichuan Jiuniu0–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
12 AprBeijing Guoan1–2Chengdu Better CitySuper League
04 AprShenyang Urban2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
21 MarBeijing Guoan1–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
14 MarShandong Luneng2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
08 MarWuhan Three Towns0–2Beijing GuoanSuper League
7Win47%
2Draw13%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESTianjin Teda
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
05 AprTianjin Teda2–3Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
21 MarShenyang Urban3–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
14 MarSichuan Jiuniu1–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
07 MarTianjin Teda0–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
13 FebKarpaty1–0Tianjin TedaFriendlies Clubs
3Win21%
3Draw21%
8Lost57%
Lineups
ConfirmedBeijing Guoan4-4-2Confirmed
4Lei LiDEF
27Gang WangDEF
26Yang BaiDEF
5Guilherme RamosDEF
7SerginhoFWD
9Yuning ZhangFWD
34Sen HouGK
11Liangming LinMID
23DawhanMID
8Aboubacar KonteMID
37Yongjing CaoMID
Substitutes
21Tze-Nam YueDEF
16Boxuan FengDEF
35Jiang WenhaoDEF
24Abduhamit AbdugheniDEF
47Deng JiefuDEF
30Shuangjie FanDEF
39Zhang JianzhiGK
36Feifan JiaMID
10Zhang XizheMID
18Wang YuMID
6Zhongguo ChiMID
38Jiaao WeiMID
Tianjin Teda5-4-1Confirmed
3Zhenghao WangDEF
24Chen ZhexuanDEF
29Dun BaDEF
17Xinghan WuDEF
6Xianjun WangDEF
9Alberto QuilesFWD
25Yan BingliangGK
20Shengpan JiMID
14Jiahui HuangMID
5Jaume GrauMID
8Bruno XadasMID
Substitutes
39Chengjun CaiDEF
38Shuaiqi LiDEF
18Aitor CórdobaDEF
4Fan YangDEF
11Xie WeijunFWD
7Guilherme SchettineFWD
26Haoran ZhangGK
21Qi YuxiGK
19Junxian LiuMID
22Li YongjiaMID
40Shi YanMID
30Qiuming WangMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersBeijing Guoan
No reported absences
Tianjin Teda
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Beijing Guoan Win1.43 (67.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.55 (58.1%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (41.9%)
BTTS No2.06 (44.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.42 (19.1%)
Tianjin Teda Win6.42 (13.4%)
