Baltika vs Akron
Baltika
#4 · Premier League
WDDDW
0 - 1
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Akron
#12 · Premier League
DDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Baltika to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Akron make Baltika the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Baltika to Win. Our model calculates a 59.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Baltika will face Akron in the Premier League at Rostec Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Baltika has a 59.9% probability of winning this match. Akron has a 18.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Baltika are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Baltika sit 4th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Baltika boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
- Baltika have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Baltika59.9%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.5%1.89
Both Teams to Score
No51.3%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.92
16.9%
1-1
6.84
14.6%
2-0
6.90
14.5%
2-1
7.68
13%
0-0
9.55
10.5%
3-0
11.85
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.64 | Draw 3.90 | Away 5.43 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.98 | Under 1.89 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.40 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.33 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.92 | No 1.79 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.25 | X2 2.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals47.5%
Over 3.5 Goals28.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 | Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 12 | Akron | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 23 | DLLLD |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBaltikaAkron
1.31Goals p.g.1.27
0.75Goals conceded p.g.1.67
44%Clean sheets20%
44%Win rate33%
2.06Avg goals in match2.93
Recent Results
BaltikaLAST MATCHES
23 AprAkhmat0–1BaltikaPremier League
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
21 MarBaltika4–0FC SochiPremier League
14 MarBaltika1–0CSKA MoscowPremier League
7Win44%
6Draw38%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESAkron
23 AprAkron1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
04 AprAkron1–2CSKA MoscowPremier League
22 MarLokomotiv5–1AkronPremier League
15 MarAkron1–1AkhmatPremier League
09 MarSpartak Moscow4–3AkronPremier League
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBaltika
No reported absences
Akron
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Baltika Win1.64 (59.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.98 (47.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.89 (52.5%)
Both Teams Score1.92 (48.7%)
BTTS No1.79 (51.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.90 (21.5%)
Akron Win5.43 (18.6%)
