Antwerp vs OH Leuven
Antwerp
#4 · Jupiler Pro League
WWLLL
2 - 0
Bosuilstadion
Referee: B. Put
OH Leuven
#6 · Jupiler Pro League
LLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.92
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.86 (implied 53.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.9% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.82. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Antwerp will face OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League at Bosuilstadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Antwerp has a 49.4% probability of winning this match. OH Leuven has a 26.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.8 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Antwerp49.4%2.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.9%1.86
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%1.72
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.96
16.9%
1-0
7.19
14%
2-1
7.98
12.7%
0-1
9.07
11.1%
0-0
9.27
10.8%
2-0
9.90
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.16 | Draw 3.31 | Away 3.24 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.93 | Under 1.86 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.46 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.28 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.72 | No 2.03 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.32 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.66 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals73%
Over 2.5 Goals45.1%
Over 3.5 Goals28.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Antwerp | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 24 | WWLLL |
| 6 | OH Leuven | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 18 | LLDLW |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAntwerpOH Leuven
0.88Goals p.g.0.94
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.44
31%Clean sheets31%
31%Win rate25%
2.12Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
AntwerpLAST MATCHES
21 AprStandard Liege1–2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
18 AprAntwerp2–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
10 AprCharleroi2–1AntwerpJupiler Pro League
03 AprAntwerp1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
22 MarOH Leuven1–0AntwerpJupiler Pro League
15 MarAntwerp1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
LAST MATCHESOH Leuven
21 AprOH Leuven0–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
18 AprAntwerp2–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
12 AprGenk0–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
04 AprOH Leuven1–3Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
22 MarOH Leuven1–0AntwerpJupiler Pro League
14 MarCharleroi0–2OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
Lineups
ConfirmedAntwerp3-1-4-2Confirmed
33Zeno Van Den BoschDEF
5Daam FoulonDEF
4Yuto TsunashimaDEF
18Vincent JanssenFWD
7Gyrano KerkFWD
41Taishi Brandon NozawaGK
30Christopher ScottMID
14Anthony ValenciaMID
78Xander DierckxMID
8Dennis PraetMID
22Farouck AdekamiMID
Substitutes
20Rein Van HeldenDEF
25Boubakar KouyatéDEF
23Glenn BijlDEF
56Eran TuypensDEF
24Thibo SomersFWD
9Marwan AlsahafiFWD
15Yannick ThoelenGK
43Youssef HamdaouiMID
21Andreas VerstraetenMID
OH Leuven3-4-3Confirmed
34Roggerio NyakossiDEF
28Ewoud PletinckxDEF
5Takuma OminamiDEF
14Henok TeklabFWD
10Youssef MazizFWD
39Sory KabaFWD
1Tobe LeysenGK
6Wouter GeorgeMID
27Óscar GilMID
4Birger VerstraeteMID
7Thibaud VerlindenMID
Substitutes
3Noe DussenneDEF
77Thibault VlietinckDEF
21William BalikwishaFWD
17Kyan VaesenFWD
19Chukwubuikem IkwuemesiFWD
16Maxence PrévotGK
33Mathieu MaertensMID
8Siebe SchrijversMID
24Łukasz ŁakomyMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersAntwerp
No reported absences
OH Leuven
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Antwerp Win2.16 (49.4%)
OH Leuven Win3.24 (26.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.93 (45.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (54.9%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (50.8%)
BTTS No2.03 (49.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.31 (24.2%)
