Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
#6 · Jupiler Pro League
WLLLD
1 - 3
Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Referee: J. Vergoote
Union St. Gilloise
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Anderlecht will face Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League at Lotto Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Anderlecht has a 28.6% probability of winning this match. Union St. Gilloise has a 48.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Union St. Gilloise are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Union St. Gilloise have a solid defence with 0.5 goals conceded per game
- Union St. Gilloise have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Union St. Gilloise48.5%1.87
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.10
16.5%
0-1
6.58
15.3%
1-2
7.62
13.2%
0-2
8.35
12.1%
0-0
9.66
10.4%
1-0
10.29
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.95 | Draw 3.46 | Away 1.87 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.94 | Under 1.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.41 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.32 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.77 | No 1.95 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.88 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.22 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals72.6%
Over 2.5 Goals49%
Over 3.5 Goals28.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 44 | LWWLL |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
1.64Goals p.g.1.5
1.64Goals conceded p.g.0.5
21%Clean sheets50%
29%Win rate71%
3.29Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
AnderlechtLAST MATCHES
18 AprKV Mechelen1–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
06 AprClub Brugge KV4–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
22 MarAnderlecht2–3Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
15 MarKV Mechelen1–0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
08 MarClub Brugge KV2–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
28 FebAnderlecht5–1OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
4Win29%
3Draw21%
7Lost50%
LAST MATCHESUnion St. Gilloise
19 AprUnion St. Gilloise2–1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
04 AprUnion St. Gilloise1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
22 MarSt. Truiden1–3Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
14 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–0DenderJupiler Pro League
07 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–1GenkJupiler Pro League
01 MarKVC Westerlo0–0Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
10Win71%
4Draw29%
0Lost0%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAnderlecht
No reported absences
Union St. Gilloise
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Anderlecht Win3.95 (28.6%)
Union St. Gilloise Win1.87 (48.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.94 (49%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (51%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (52.3%)
BTTS No1.95 (47.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.46 (22.9%)
