Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr
#1 · Pro League
WWWWW
VS
King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · Pro League
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Al-Nassr will face Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League at King Saud University Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Al-Nassr has a 52.4% probability of winning this match. Al-Ahli Jeddah has a 26.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Al-Nassr are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Al-Ahli Jeddah are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Al-Nassr average 2.9 goals per game
- Al-Ahli Jeddah average 2.0 goals per game
- Al-Nassr boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.3 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Al-Nassr52.4%1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.2%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.3%1.49
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.36
13.7%
2-1
7.75
13%
1-0
9.45
10.6%
2-0
10.24
9.8%
2-2
11.01
9.3%
1-2
11.25
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.83 | Draw 3.75 | Away 3.52 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.51 | Under 2.43 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.00 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.30 | Under 1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.49 | No 2.44 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals60.2%
Over 3.5 Goals40.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 29 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 79 | 21 | 58 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 68 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 66 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 62 | DDLWW |
| 5 |  Al Taawon | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 | WLDDW |
| 6 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 45 | LWLLW |
| 16 |  Al Riyadh | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 23 | LWDWL |
| 17 |  Al Okhdood | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | 61 | -38 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Al Najma | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 11 | LWLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAl-NassrAl-Ahli Jeddah
2.86Goals p.g.2
0.29Goals conceded p.g.0.88
71%Clean sheets38%
93%Win rate69%
3.14Avg goals in match2.88
Recent Results
Al-NassrLAST MATCHES
22 AprAl-Nassr5–1Al Ahli DohaAFC Champions League Two
19 AprAl-Wasl FC0–4Al-NassrAFC Champions League Two
11 AprAl Okhdood0–2Al-NassrPro League
03 AprAl-Nassr5–2Al NajmaPro League
14 MarAl Khaleej Saihat0–5Al-NassrPro League
11 MarAl-Nassr–Al-Wasl FCAFC Champions League Two
13Win93%
0Draw0%
0Lost0%
LAST MATCHESAl-Ahli Jeddah
20 AprVissel Kobe1–2Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite
17 AprAl-Ahli Jeddah2–1Johor Darul Takzim FCAFC Champions League Elite
13 AprAl-Ahli Jeddah1–0Al-Duhail SCAFC Champions League Elite
08 AprAl-Fayha1–1Al-Ahli JeddahPro League
04 AprAl-Ahli Jeddah3–0DamacPro League
18 MarAl-Ahli Jeddah1–1Al-Hilal Saudi FCKing's Cup
11Win69%
3Draw19%
1Lost6%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Nassr
No reported absences
Al-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.51 (60.2%)
Both Teams Score1.49 (60.3%)
Value Bets
Al-Nassr Win1.83 (52.4%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah Win3.52 (26.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.43 (39.8%)
BTTS No2.44 (39.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (21%)
