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Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30
Al Shabab
#12 · Pro League
LDDDW
VS
Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al-Fateh
#13 · Pro League
WLLLD
52.8%
Home Win
20.2%
Draw
26.9%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Al Shabab to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Al-Fateh make Al Shabab the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Al Shabab to Win. Our model calculates a 52.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Al Shabab will face Al-Fateh in the Pro League at Al-Shabab Club Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Al Shabab has a 52.8% probability of winning this match. Al-Fateh has a 26.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Al Shabab average 2.3 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Al Shabab52.8%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.9%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.46
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.68
13.1%
2-1
7.80
12.9%
1-0
9.89
10.1%
2-0
10.38
9.7%
2-2
10.98
9.2%
1-2
11.56
8.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.77Draw 3.92Away 3.69
O/U 2.5Over 1.47Under 2.58
O/U 1.5Over 1.13Under 5.37
O/U 3.5Over 2.21Under 1.63
BTTSYes 1.46No 2.52
Double Chance1X 1.2412 1.20X2 1.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
64.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Nassr
29251379215876
WWWWW
2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
28208075255068
WDWWW
3
Al-Ahli Jeddah
28206255203566
DWLWW
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC
29188367313662
DDLWW
5
Al Taawon
29147852381449
WLDDW
6
Al-Ittihad FC
2813694538745
LWLLW
12
Al Shabab
28710113642-631
DDWDL
13
Al-Fateh
2887133548-1331
WLLLD
16
Al Riyadh
2958163054-2423
LWDWL
17
Al Okhdood
2944212361-3816
LLWLL
18
Al Najma
2925222869-4111
LWLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Al ShababAl-Fateh
2.29Goals p.g.1.15
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.85
14%Clean sheets8%
29%Win rate15%
3.86Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

Al ShababLAST MATCHES
23 AprAl Shabab0–3Al-Rayyan SCAGCFF Gulf Champions League
19 AprZakho1–1Al ShababAGCFF Gulf Champions League
14 AprAl-Qadisiyah FC2–2Al ShababPro League
05 AprAl Riyadh1–1Al ShababPro League
14 MarAl Shabab2–0Al OkhdoodPro League
07 MarAl-Ettifaq1–1Al ShababPro League
4Win29%
5Draw36%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAl-Fateh
24 AprAl-Fateh1–0Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
05 AprAl Okhdood1–0Al-FatehPro League
14 MarAl-Fateh0–1Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League
06 MarAl Taawon3–2Al-FatehPro League
26 FebAl-Fateh1–1DamacPro League
23 FebAl-Fateh2–1Al OkhdoodPro League
2Win15%
4Draw31%
7Lost54%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al Shabab

No reported absences

Al-Fateh

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (64.9%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (64%)
●Value Bets
Al Shabab Win1.77 (52.8%)
Al-Fateh Win3.69 (26.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.58 (35.1%)
BTTS No2.52 (36%)
●Speculative
Draw3.92 (20.2%)
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Predictions, Stats, H2H - 28 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro