Akron vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Akron
#12 · Premier League
DDLLD
1 - 1
Samara Arena, Samara
Referee: S. Ivanov
Dinamo Makhachkala
#13 · Premier League
LDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Akron will face Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League at Samara Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Akron has a 42.8% probability of winning this match. Dinamo Makhachkala has a 32.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Dinamo Makhachkala have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- Dinamo Makhachkala have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Akron42.8%2.41
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.5%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.7%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.59
17.9%
1-0
6.41
15.6%
0-0
6.94
14.4%
0-1
7.64
13.1%
2-1
9.29
10.8%
2-0
10.21
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.41 | Draw 3.17 | Away 3.16 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.33 | Under 1.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.82 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.15 | Under 1.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.92 | No 1.79 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.36 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.5%
Over 1.5 Goals66.8%
Over 2.5 Goals44.5%
Over 3.5 Goals22.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 12 | Akron | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 23 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 23 | LDDLW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAkronDinamo Makhachkala
1.27Goals p.g.1.6
1.67Goals conceded p.g.0.73
20%Clean sheets53%
33%Win rate60%
2.93Avg goals in match2.33
Recent Results
AkronLAST MATCHES
23 AprAkron1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
04 AprAkron1–2CSKA MoscowPremier League
22 MarLokomotiv5–1AkronPremier League
15 MarAkron1–1AkhmatPremier League
09 MarSpartak Moscow4–3AkronPremier League
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESDinamo Makhachkala
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
05 AprDinamo Makhachkala2–2BaltikaPremier League
21 MarCSKA Moscow3–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
18 MarZenit1–0Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
13 MarDinamo Makhachkala1–0FC OrenburgPremier League
08 MarKrylia Sovetov2–0Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
9Win60%
2Draw13%
4Lost27%
Lineups
ConfirmedAkron4-1-4-1Confirmed
26Rodrigo EscovalDEF
21Roberto FernándezDEF
24Ionut NedelcearuDEF
71Dmitriy PestryakovDEF
22Artem DzyubaFWD
88Vitali GudievGK
11BenchimolMID
5Aleksa ĐurasovićMID
91Maksim BoldyrevMID
15Stefan LončarMID
6Maksim KuzminMID
Substitutes
69Arseniy DmitrievFWD
81Nikita BazilevskiyFWD
10Kevin ArevaloFWD
90Aleksandr MorozovFWD
78Aleksandr VasyutinGK
32Ignat TerekhovskiyGK
35Ifet ĐakovacMID
89Denis PopenkovMID
80Khetag KhosonovMID
8Konstantin MaradishviliMID
Dinamo Makhachkala4-4-2Confirmed
43Ilyas AkhmedovDEF
5Jemal TabidzeDEF
77Temirkan SundukovDEF
24Andrés AlarcónDEF
25Gamid AgalarovFWD
11MiroFWD
27David VolkGK
7Hazem MastouriMID
10Mohammadjavad HosseinnejadMID
47Nikita GlushkovMID
16Houssem Eddine MrezigueMID
Substitutes
99Mutalip AlibekovDEF
71Jan ĐapoDEF
72Aleksandr SandrachukDEF
28Serder SerderovFWD
33Nikita KarabashevGK
9Razhab MagomedovMID
21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovMID
19Kirill ZinovichMID
6El Mehdi MoubarikMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersAkron1
M. Bokoev
Missing FixtureRed Card
Dinamo Makhachkala5
A. Sandrachuk
Missing FixtureInactive
I. Shumakhov
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Dapo
QuestionableInjury
M. Azzi
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Kagermazov
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.65 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Akron Win2.41 (42.8%)
Dinamo Makhachkala Win3.16 (32.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.33 (44.5%)
Both Teams Score1.92 (49.3%)
BTTS No1.79 (50.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.17 (24.8%)
