AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
#3 · Serie A
WLLWL
0 - 0
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee: S. Sozza

Juventus
#4 · Serie A
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , AC Milan will face Juventus in the Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that AC Milan has a 36.9% probability of winning this match. Juventus has a 38.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Juventus are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Juventus have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Juventus38.1%2.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.4%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.81
17.3%
0-1
8.02
12.5%
1-2
8.80
11.4%
1-0
8.95
11.2%
0-0
9.19
10.9%
2-1
9.86
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.97 | Draw 3.12 | Away 2.48 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.96 | Under 1.86 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.42 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.30 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.71 | No 2.07 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.53 | 12 1.34 | X2 1.39 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.8%
Over 1.5 Goals72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals49.6%
Over 3.5 Goals28.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW | |
| 3 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL | |
| 4 | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW | |
| 6 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL | |
| 19 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAC MilanJuventus
1.27Goals p.g.1.8
0.87Goals conceded p.g.1.47
33%Clean sheets40%
53%Win rate47%
2.13Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
AC MilanLAST MATCHES
19 AprHellas Verona0–1AC MilanSerie A
11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A
06 AprNapoli1–0AC MilanSerie A
21 MarAC Milan3–2TorinoSerie A
15 MarLazio1–0AC MilanSerie A
08 MarAC Milan1–0InterSerie A
8Win53%
3Draw20%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESJuventus
19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A
11 AprAtalanta0–1JuventusSerie A
06 AprJuventus2–0GenoaSerie A
21 MarJuventus1–1SassuoloSerie A
14 MarUdinese0–1JuventusSerie A
07 MarJuventus4–0PisaSerie A
7Win47%
4Draw27%
4Lost27%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 players
AC Milan
No reported absences
Juventus5
A. Milik
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
D. Vlahovic
QuestionableCalf Injury
E. Holm
QuestionableCalf Injury
J. Cabal
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Perin
QuestionableInjury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
AC Milan Win2.97 (36.9%)
Draw3.12 (25%)
Juventus Win2.48 (38.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.96 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (50.4%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (54.8%)
BTTS No2.07 (45.2%)









