Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK

EliteserienRegular Season - 6

Aalesund

#16 · Eliteserien

LLDWL

1 - 1

Color Line Stadion

Referee: T. Hansen

Kristiansund BK

#10 · Eliteserien

WLLWW

43.7%

Home Win

21.7%

Draw

34.6%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Over 2.5 Goals

Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.

Totals

1.58

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Aalesund will face Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien at Color Line Stadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Aalesund has a 43.7% probability of winning this match. Kristiansund BK has a 34.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Kristiansund BK have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Aalesund43.7%1.99

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.559.2%1.53

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes61.5%1.48

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

7.13

14.1%

2-1

8.10

12.4%

1-0

9.85

10.2%

1-2

10.71

9.5%

2-2

10.83

9.3%

2-0

11.32

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.99	Draw 3.71	Away 3.28
O/U 2.5	Over 1.53	Under 2.37
O/U 1.5	Over 1.15	Under 4.86
O/U 3.5	Over 2.34	Under 1.57
BTTS	Yes 1.48	No 2.48
Double Chance	1X 1.31	12 1.24	X2 1.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

92.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

80.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

59.2%

Over 3.5 Goals

40.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Tromso	6	5	1	0	11	1	10	16	WDWWW
2	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	9	2	7	13	WDWWW
3	Viking	5	4	0	1	14	5	9	12	WWWWL
4	Molde	5	2	1	2	8	7	1	7	DWLLW
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	7	6	1	7	WDLW
6	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	4	4	0	7	LDLWW
10	Kristiansund BK	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6	WLLW
14	Brann	5	1	0	4	10	10	0	3	LLWLL
15	Start	5	0	3	2	4	8	-4	3	DLDDL
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	6	12	-6	2	LDLDL

Key Statistics

2026 Season

AalesundKristiansund BK

1.8Goals p.g.1.07

1.8Goals conceded p.g.1.27

20%Clean sheets27%

40%Win rate33%

3.6Avg goals in match2.33

Recent Results

AalesundLAST MATCHES

18 AprBodo/Glimt3–0AalesundEliteserien

07 AprAalesund2–3FredrikstadEliteserien

21 MarStart1–1AalesundEliteserien

18 MarViking1–2AalesundNM Cupen

15 MarAalesund1–3LillestromEliteserien

09 MarEgersund2–3AalesundNM Cupen

6Win40%

1Draw7%

8Lost53%

LAST MATCHESKristiansund BK

19 AprKristiansund BK2–0FredrikstadEliteserien

11 AprTromso2–0Kristiansund BKEliteserien

06 AprKristiansund BK0–3Bodo/GlimtEliteserien

28 MarKristiansund BK4–0BrattvågFriendlies Clubs

15 MarKristiansund BK3–2BrannEliteserien

08 MarKristiansund BK1–1RanheimFriendlies Clubs

5Win33%

4Draw27%

6Lost40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

7 players

Aalesund3

✕J. Seehusen

QuestionableInjury

✕M. Kristensen

QuestionableInjury

✕P. Ngongo

Missing FixtureSurgery

Kristiansund BK4

✕D. Tufekcic

Missing FixtureThigh Injury

✕H. Opsahl

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕J. Isaksen

QuestionableThigh Injury

✕N. Odegard

QuestionableAnkle Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (59.2%)

Both Teams Score1.48 (61.5%)

●Value Bets

Aalesund Win1.99 (43.7%)

Kristiansund BK Win3.28 (34.6%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.37 (40.8%)

BTTS No2.48 (38.5%)

●Speculative

Draw3.71 (21.7%)