Wofoo Tai Po vs North District
Wofoo Tai Po
#3 · Premier League
WWWLD
3 - 2
Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
North District
#4 · Premier League
LDDWW
★ OUR PICK
Wofoo Tai Po to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over North District make Wofoo Tai Po the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.52
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.39 (implied 41.9%) for Wofoo Tai Po to Win. Our model calculates a 44.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.23. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Wofoo Tai Po will face North District in the Premier League at Tai Po Sports Ground.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Wofoo Tai Po has a 44.8% probability of winning this match. North District has a 33.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Wofoo Tai Po have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Wofoo Tai Po average 2.0 goals per game
- North District average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.1 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Wofoo Tai Po44.8%2.39
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes68.1%1.40
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.96
14.6%
2-1
8.59
12%
1-2
8.80
11.7%
2-2
9.54
10.9%
1-0
11.47
9%
0-1
11.32
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.39 | Draw 3.62 | Away 2.44 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.53 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 5.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.12 | Under 1.64 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.40 | No 2.69 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.46 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.48 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals82.6%
Over 2.5 Goals67%
Over 3.5 Goals43.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kowloon City | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | WWDLW |
| 1 |  Kitchee | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Warriors | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 39 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  BC Rangers | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 20 | WLDLL |
| 3 |  Eastern District | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 | LLDLD |
| 3 | Wofoo Tai Po | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 34 | WWWWL |
| 4 | North District | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 31 | LDDWD |
| 4 |  Southern District | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 18 | LLDLW |
| 5 |  Eastern | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 25 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 53 | -41 | 4 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonWofoo Tai PoNorth District
2Goals p.g.2.07
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.71
23%Clean sheets7%
54%Win rate43%
3.69Avg goals in match3.79
Recent Results
Wofoo Tai PoLAST MATCHES
18 AprWofoo Tai Po3–2North DistrictPremier League
22 MarBC Rangers0–2Wofoo Tai PoPremier League
15 MarWofoo Tai Po1–0Southern DistrictPremier League
11 MarWarriors1–0Wofoo Tai PoLeague Cup
07 MarWofoo Tai Po1–1KitcheeFA Cup
28 FebSouthern District2–1Wofoo Tai PoPremier League
7Win54%
1Draw8%
5Lost38%
LAST MATCHESNorth District
18 AprWofoo Tai Po3–2North DistrictPremier League
12 AprNorth District3–3WarriorsPremier League
22 MarSouthern District2–2North DistrictPremier League
14 MarNorth District2–1BC RangersPremier League
08 MarHong Kong FC1–3North DistrictFA Cup
01 MarNorth District2–2Eastern DistrictPremier League
6Win43%
4Draw29%
4Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWofoo Tai Po
No reported absences
North District
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (67%)
Both Teams Score1.40 (68.1%)
Value Bets
Wofoo Tai Po Win2.39 (44.8%)
North District Win2.44 (33.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.53 (33%)
BTTS No2.69 (31.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.62 (21.2%)