Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
#15 · Bundesliga
WLWLW
3 - 1
Weserstadion, Bremen
Referee: F. Exner
Hamburger SV
#14 · Bundesliga
LDLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Werder Bremen will face Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga at Weserstadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Werder Bremen has a 50.6% probability of winning this match. Hamburger SV has a 26.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Werder Bremen50.6%1.94
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.7%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.70
15%
2-1
7.98
12.6%
1-0
8.20
12.2%
2-0
9.74
10.3%
1-2
11.71
8.6%
0-1
11.87
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.94 | Draw 3.61 | Away 3.80 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.73 | Under 2.12 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.10 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.76 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.23 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals52.7%
Over 3.5 Goals34.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 31 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonWerder BremenHamburger SV
1.14Goals p.g.1.21
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.36
14%Clean sheets21%
29%Win rate21%
2.71Avg goals in match2.57
Recent Results
Werder BremenLAST MATCHES
18 AprWerder Bremen3–1Hamburger SVBundesliga
04 AprWerder Bremen1–2RB LeipzigBundesliga
21 MarVfL Wolfsburg0–1Werder BremenBundesliga
15 MarWerder Bremen0–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
08 MarUnion Berlin1–4Werder BremenBundesliga
28 FebWerder Bremen2–01. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
4Win29%
2Draw14%
8Lost57%
LAST MATCHESHamburger SV
18 AprWerder Bremen3–1Hamburger SVBundesliga
04 AprHamburger SV1–1FC AugsburgBundesliga
21 MarBorussia Dortmund3–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
14 MarHamburger SV1–11. FC KölnBundesliga
07 MarVfL Wolfsburg1–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
04 MarHamburger SV0–1Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
3Win21%
6Draw43%
5Lost36%
Lineups
ConfirmedWerder Bremen4-5-1Confirmed
3Yukinari SugawaraDEF
2Olivier DemanDEF
31Karim CoulibalyDEF
5Amos PieperDEF
19Jovan MiloševićFWD
30Mio BackhausGK
6Jens StageMID
11Justin NjinmahMID
20Romano SchmidMID
18Cameron PuertasMID
14Senne LynenMID
Substitutes
23Isaac SchmidtDEF
4Niklas StarkDEF
39Maximilian WöberDEF
7Samuel MbangulaFWD
17Marco GrüllFWD
29Salim MusahFWD
25Markus KolkeGK
10Leonardo BittencourtMID
24Patrice ČovićMID
Hamburger SV3-4-1-2Confirmed
25Jordan TorunarighaDEF
17Warmed OmariDEF
24Nicolás CapaldoDEF
9Robert GlatzelFWD
20Fábio VieiraFWD
11Ransford Yeboah KönigsdörfferFWD
1Daniel FernandesGK
2William MikelbrencisMID
28Miro MuheimMID
21Nicolai RembergMID
23Albert GrønbækMID
Substitutes
16Giorgi GocholeishviliDEF
43Shafiq NandjaDEF
49Otto StangeFWD
14Rayan PhilippeFWD
19Damion DownsFWD
27Philip OteleFWD
12Sander TangvikGK
18Bakery JattaMID
8Daniel ElfadliMID
Unavailable Players
15 playersWerder Bremen9
J. Malatini
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Stage
QuestionableMuscle Injury
K. Hein
Missing FixtureHand Injury
K. Topp
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Friedl
Missing FixtureRed Card
M. Weiser
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Wober
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
V. Boniface
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
W. Adeh
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Hamburger SV6
A. Rossing-Lelesiit
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
A. S. Lokonga
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
B. Jatta
QuestionableHamstring Injury
J. Dompe
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
L. Vuskovic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Y. Poulsen
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.61 (56.3%)
Value Bets
Werder Bremen Win1.94 (50.6%)
Hamburger SV Win3.80 (26.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (52.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (47.3%)
BTTS No2.23 (43.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.61 (22.7%)
