Warriors vs Eastern

Warriors
#2 · Premier League
WDWDD
0 - 1
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong

Eastern
#5 · Premier League
WDLWD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 (implied 64.0%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 64.0% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.56. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Warriors will face Eastern in the Premier League at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Warriors has a 60.2% probability of winning this match. Eastern has a 20.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Warriors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Warriors average 2.6 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.1 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Warriors60.2%1.52
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.1%1.62
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.30
13.9%
1-1
7.47
13.5%
1-0
7.71
13.1%
2-0
7.73
13%
3-1
10.32
9.8%
3-0
10.61
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.52 | Draw 4.05 | Away 5.04 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.56 | Under 2.24 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.56 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.39 | Under 1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.12 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.17 | X2 2.33 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.2%
Over 1.5 Goals79.7%
Over 2.5 Goals64%
Over 3.5 Goals38.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | WWDLW | |
| 1 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 50 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 39 | WDDDW | |
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 20 | WLDLL | |
| 3 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 | LLDLD | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 34 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 18 | LLDLW | |
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 25 | WDLWD | |
| 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 53 | -41 | 4 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonWarriorsEastern
2.62Goals p.g.1.5
1Goals conceded p.g.2.29
38%Clean sheets29%
62%Win rate36%
3.62Avg goals in match3.79
Recent Results
WarriorsLAST MATCHES
18 AprKitchee1–4WarriorsPremier League
12 AprNorth District3–3WarriorsPremier League
07 AprKitchee1–2WarriorsLeague Cup
03 AprEastern District0–0WarriorsPremier League
21 MarWarriors0–0Kowloon CityPremier League
15 MarHong Kong FC0–4WarriorsPremier League
10Win63%
5Draw31%
1Lost6%
LAST MATCHESEastern
11 AprEastern5–0Hong Kong FCPremier League
04 AprEastern1–1BC RangersPremier League
21 MarKitchee2–1EasternPremier League
14 MarEastern1–0Eastern DistrictPremier League
07 MarEastern0–0Eastern DistrictFA Cup
28 FebEastern1–1WarriorsPremier League
5Win36%
3Draw21%
6Lost43%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Warriors
No reported absences
Eastern
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Warriors Win1.52 (60.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (64%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (60.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.24 (36%)
BTTS No2.12 (39.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.05 (19.2%)
Eastern Win5.04 (20.6%)






