Vitoria vs Corinthians
Vitoria
#11 · Serie A
DWWWD
0 - 0
Barradao, Salvador
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Corinthians
#17 · Serie A
WDWDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.72
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 56.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Vitoria will face Corinthians in the Serie A at Barradao.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Vitoria has a 42.7% probability of winning this match. Corinthians has a 30.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Vitoria have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Vitoria are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Corinthians have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Corinthians are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Corinthians have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Vitoria42.7%2.60
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.564%1.48
Both Teams to Score
No56.2%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.55
18.1%
1-0
6.20
16.2%
0-0
6.39
15.7%
0-1
6.49
15.4%
2-1
9.87
10.2%
1-2
10.66
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.60 | Draw 2.97 | Away 2.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.58 | Under 1.48 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.51 | Under 2.50 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 5.14 | Under 1.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.08 | No 1.68 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.37 | X2 1.46 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals85.8%
Over 1.5 Goals62.4%
Over 2.5 Goals36%
Over 3.5 Goals18.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 29 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWWLD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 20 | LLWDL |
| 5 |  Bahia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico Paranaense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 19 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Vitoria | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 | DWDLW |
| 17 | Corinthians | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVitoriaCorinthians
1.48Goals p.g.0.95
1.19Goals conceded p.g.0.6
33%Clean sheets55%
43%Win rate40%
2.67Avg goals in match1.55
Recent Results
VitoriaLAST MATCHES
18 AprVitoria0–0CorinthiansSerie A
16 AprVitoria3–1PiauíCopa do Nordeste
11 AprVitoria2–0Sao PauloSerie A
08 AprVitoria4–1JuazeirenseCopa do Nordeste
05 AprChapecoense-sc1–1VitoriaSerie A
01 AprCruzeiro3–0VitoriaSerie A
9Win43%
5Draw24%
6Lost29%
LAST MATCHESCorinthians
22 AprBarra0–1CorinthiansCopa Do Brasil
18 AprVitoria0–0CorinthiansSerie A
16 AprCorinthians2–0Santa FeCONMEBOL Libertadores
12 AprCorinthians0–0PalmeirasSerie A
10 AprPlatense0–2CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
05 AprCorinthians0–1InternacionalSerie A
8Win40%
7Draw35%
5Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedVitoria4-3-3Confirmed
13RamonDEF
45Nathan MendesDEF
36Luan CândidoDEF
25CacáDEF
33ErickFWD
79Renato KayzerFWD
10MatheuzinhoFWD
1Lucas ArcanjoGK
6Emmanuel MartínezMID
44Gabriel BaralhasMID
95Caique GonçalvesMID
Substitutes
18KauanDEF
12Diego TarziaDEF
17Aitor CantalapiedraFWD
11OsvaldoFWD
31Renzo LópezFWD
91Renê SousaFWD
20Lucas SilvaFWD
22GabrielGK
8RonaldMID
26EdenilsonMID
62Pablo SantosMID
88Zé VitorMID
Corinthians4-2-3-1Confirmed
20Pedro MilansDEF
21Matheus BiduDEF
3Gabriel PaulistaDEF
13Gustavo HenriqueDEF
9Yuri AlbertoFWD
1Hugo SouzaGK
19Andre CarrilloMID
14RanieleMID
7Breno BidonMID
8Rodrigo GarroMID
31Kayke FerrariMID
Substitutes
5Andre RamalhoDEF
55Iago MachadoDEF
26Fabrizio AngileriDEF
37Kaio CésarFWD
18Pedro RaulFWD
11VitinhoFWD
52Zakaria LabyadFWD
51KauêGK
77Jesse LingardMID
29AllanMID
23Matheus PereiraMID
61DieguinhoMID
Unavailable Players
23 playersVitoria14
Camutanga
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
Claudinho
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Dudu
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Edu
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
Erick
QuestionableInactive
Fabricio
Missing FixtureInactive
Fintelman
Missing FixtureHip Injury
H. Pedro
Missing FixtureHand Injury
Jamerson
Missing FixtureInactive
Marinho
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Matheusinho
Missing FixtureInjury
Neris
Missing FixtureInactive
R. Ramos
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Riccieli
Missing FixtureInactive
Corinthians9
Andre
Missing FixtureRed Card
Charles Rigon
Missing FixtureInactive
F. Angileri
QuestionableInactive
Gui Negao
Missing FixtureInactive
Hugo Souza
Missing FixtureSuspended
Joao Pedro
Missing FixtureInactive
Kaio Cesar
QuestionableThigh Injury
M. Depay
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Matheuzinho
Missing FixtureRed Card
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.48 (64%)
BTTS No1.68 (56.2%)
Value Bets
Vitoria Win2.60 (42.7%)
Draw2.97 (26.4%)
Corinthians Win2.88 (30.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.58 (36%)
Both Teams Score2.08 (43.8%)
