Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

La LigaRegular Season - 32

Villarreal

#3 · La Liga

WLWDW

2 - 1

Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal

Celta Vigo

#7 · La Liga

LLLWL

52.7%

Home Win

23.2%

Draw

24.1%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.73

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Villarreal will face Celta Vigo in the La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Villarreal has a 52.7% probability of winning this match. Celta Vigo has a 24.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Villarreal52.7%2.00

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.553.4%1.82

Both Teams to Score

Yes57%1.67

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.26

16%

1-0

7.63

13.2%

2-1

8.01

12.5%

2-0

9.52

10.6%

0-0

10.48

9.6%

0-1

11.14

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.00	Draw 3.46	Away 3.77
O/U 2.5	Over 1.82	Under 1.99
O/U 1.5	Over 1.25	Under 3.79
O/U 3.5	Over 2.95	Under 1.39
BTTS	Yes 1.67	No 2.13
Double Chance	1X 1.27	12 1.28	X2 1.80

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

75.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

53.4%

Over 3.5 Goals

32%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	32	27	1	4	85	30	55	82	WWWWW
2	Real Madrid	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	DWDLW
3	Villarreal	32	19	5	8	57	37	20	62	DWLWD
4	Atletico Madrid	32	17	6	9	53	35	18	57	LLLLW
5	Real Betis	33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	DWDDL
6	Getafe	32	13	5	14	28	32	-4	44	WLWWL
7	Celta Vigo	32	11	11	10	44	41	3	44	LLWLD
18	Alaves	32	8	9	15	36	48	-12	33	LDDWD
19	Levante	32	8	8	16	37	50	-13	32	WWLWD
20	Oviedo	32	6	10	16	25	49	-24	28	DWWLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

VillarrealCelta Vigo

1.43Goals p.g.1.28

1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.5

7%Clean sheets22%

43%Win rate33%

3Avg goals in match2.78

Recent Results

VillarrealLAST MATCHES

12 AprAthletic Club1–2VillarrealLa Liga

06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga

20 MarVillarreal3–1Real SociedadLa Liga

13 MarAlaves1–1VillarrealLa Liga

08 MarVillarreal2–1ElcheLa Liga

28 FebBarcelona4–1VillarrealLa Liga

6Win43%

2Draw14%

6Lost43%

LAST MATCHESCelta Vigo

22 AprBarcelona1–0Celta VigoLa Liga

12 AprCelta Vigo0–3OviedoLa Liga

09 AprSC Freiburg3–0Celta VigoUEFA Europa League

05 AprValencia2–3Celta VigoLa Liga

22 MarCelta Vigo3–4AlavesLa Liga

19 MarLyon0–2Celta VigoUEFA Europa League

6Win33%

5Draw28%

7Lost39%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

7 players

Villarreal4

✕J. Foyth

Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury

✕L. Costa

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕P. Cabanes

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕S. Mourino

QuestionableInjury

Celta Vigo3

✕C. Dominguez

QuestionableIllness

✕C. Starfelt

QuestionableBack Injury

✕M. Roman

Missing FixtureFoot Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Both Teams Score1.67 (57%)

●Value Bets

Villarreal Win2.00 (52.7%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (53.4%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.99 (46.6%)

BTTS No2.13 (43%)

●Speculative

Draw3.46 (23.2%)

Celta Vigo Win3.77 (24.1%)