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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

BundesligaRegular Season - 31
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · Bundesliga
LLWLW
1 - 1
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
#15 · Bundesliga
WLWLW
57.7%
Home Win
19.6%
Draw
22.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 61.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , VfB Stuttgart will face Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga at MHPArena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that VfB Stuttgart has a 57.7% probability of winning this match. Werder Bremen has a 22.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
  • VfB Stuttgart average 2.1 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — VfB Stuttgart57.7%1.54
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.4%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.5%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-1
7.77
12.9%
1-1
8.61
11.7%
2-0
9.29
10.8%
1-0
10.07
10%
3-1
10.26
9.8%
3-0
12.04
8.3%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.54Draw 4.30Away 5.51
O/U 2.5Over 1.44Under 2.71
O/U 1.5Over 1.11Under 5.87
O/U 3.5Over 2.10Under 1.74
BTTSYes 1.51No 2.43
Double Chance1X 1.1412 1.20X2 2.44

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
63.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
45.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
302541109298079
WWWWD
2
Borussia Dortmund
30197461313064
LLWWW
3
RB Leipzig
31195762382462
WWWWW
4
VfB Stuttgart
30175862422056
LWLWW
5
1899 Hoffenheim
30166859441554
WDLLD
6
Bayer Leverkusen
30157860411952
LWWDD
15
Werder Bremen
3087153553-1831
WLLWL
16
FC St. Pauli
3068162651-2526
DLDLL
17
VfL Wolfsburg
3066184166-2524
WLLLD
18
1. FC Heidenheim
3047193366-3319
LWDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
2.06Goals p.g.1.14
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.57
25%Clean sheets14%
50%Win rate29%
3.56Avg goals in match2.71

Recent Results

VfB StuttgartLAST MATCHES
19 AprBayern München4–2VfB StuttgartBundesliga
04 AprVfB Stuttgart0–2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
22 MarFC Augsburg2–5VfB StuttgartBundesliga
19 MarFC Porto2–0VfB StuttgartUEFA Europa League
15 MarVfB Stuttgart1–0RB LeipzigBundesliga
12 MarVfB Stuttgart1–2FC PortoUEFA Europa League
8Win50%
2Draw13%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESWerder Bremen
18 AprWerder Bremen3–1Hamburger SVBundesliga
04 AprWerder Bremen1–2RB LeipzigBundesliga
21 MarVfL Wolfsburg0–1Werder BremenBundesliga
15 MarWerder Bremen0–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
08 MarUnion Berlin1–4Werder BremenBundesliga
28 FebWerder Bremen2–01. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
4Win29%
2Draw14%
8Lost57%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

12 players

VfB Stuttgart2

✕F. Jeltsch
Missing FixtureInjury
✕L. Jovanovic
Missing FixtureBack Injury

Werder Bremen10

✕F. Agu
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
✕J. Malatini
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
✕J. Njinmah
QuestionableInjury
✕K. Hein
Missing FixtureHand Injury
✕K. Topp
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕L. Bittencourt
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
✕M. Grull
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
✕M. Weiser
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕V. Boniface
QuestionableKnee Injury
✕W. Adeh
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
VfB Stuttgart Win1.54 (57.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (63.4%)
Both Teams Score1.51 (61.5%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.71 (36.6%)
BTTS No2.43 (38.5%)
●Speculative
Draw4.30 (19.6%)
Werder Bremen Win5.51 (22.7%)
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro