Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
#1 · Major League Soccer
WWWLL
3 - 0
BC Place
Referee: E. Arreguin
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · Major League Soccer
LLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
2.17
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.91 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 51.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Vancouver Whitecaps will face Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer at BC Place.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps has a 81.2% probability of winning this match. Sporting Kansas City has a 6.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 12.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Vancouver Whitecaps have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in the table, 14 places above their opponents
- Vancouver Whitecaps have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Vancouver Whitecaps81.2%1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.565%1.20
Both Teams to Score
No51.8%1.91
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes3-0
7.62
13.2%
4-0
8.44
11.9%
2-0
8.65
11.7%
3-1
9.78
10.4%
2-1
10.93
9.4%
4-1
10.98
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.11 | Draw 9.76 | Away 18.22 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.35 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.05 | Under 9.63 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.55 | Under 2.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.83 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.02 | 12 1.06 | X2 5.97 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals96.1%
Over 1.5 Goals90.1%
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 3.5 Goals61%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City
1.69Goals p.g.0.73
0.81Goals conceded p.g.1.73
50%Clean sheets20%
56%Win rate27%
2.5Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Vancouver WhitecapsLAST MATCHES
18 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
11 AprVancouver Whitecaps2–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
05 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
22 MarVancouver Whitecaps0–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
19 MarSeattle Sounders2–1Vancouver WhitecapsCONCACAF Champions League
15 MarVancouver Whitecaps6–0Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
9Win56%
1Draw6%
5Lost31%
LAST MATCHESSporting Kansas City
18 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
15 AprColorado Springs3–0Sporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup
04 AprReal Salt Lake3–1Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarSporting Kansas City1–4Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
15 MarLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
08 MarSporting Kansas City0–1San DiegoMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%
Lineups
ConfirmedVancouver Whitecaps4-2-3-1Confirmed
18Édier OcampoDEF
33Tristan BlackmonDEF
28Tate JohnsonDEF
2Mathías LabordaDEF
24Brian WhiteFWD
1Yohei TakaokaGK
13Thomas MüllerMID
11Emmanuel SabbiMID
20Andres CubasMID
16Sebastian BerhalterMID
14Bruno QuiñonezMID
Substitutes
29Mihail GherasimencovDEF
41Nikola DjordjevicDEF
7Cheick Tidiane SabalyFWD
17Kenji CabreraFWD
19Rayan ElloumiFWD
32Isaac BoehmerGK
22Aziel JacksonMID
59Jeevan BadwalMID
8Oliver LarrazMID
Sporting Kansas City4-3-3Confirmed
23Ethan BartlowDEF
57Diego BorgesDEF
20Kwaku AgyabengDEF
13Justin ReynoldsDEF
7CapitaFWD
11Calvin HarrisFWD
9Dejan JoveljićFWD
1John PulskampGK
16Jacob BartlettMID
14Macielo TschantretMID
6Manu GarcíaMID
Substitutes
15Jansen MillerDEF
99Jayden ReidDEF
2Ian JamesDEF
17Stephen AfrifaFWD
93Magomed Shapi SuleymanovFWD
19Taylor CalheiraFWD
12Jack KortkampGK
4Lasse Berg JohnsenMID
8Jacob DavisMID
Unavailable Players
10 playersVancouver Whitecaps6
B. Halbouni
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Gauld
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Priso
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Veselinovic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Adekugbe
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
S. Schonlau
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Sporting Kansas City4
R. Schewe
Missing FixtureHand Injury
S. Cleveland
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
W. Meyer
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Z. Bassong
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Vancouver Whitecaps Win1.11 (81.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.20 (65%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals4.35 (35%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (48.2%)
BTTS No1.91 (51.8%)
Speculative
Draw9.76 (12.4%)
Sporting Kansas City Win18.22 (6.3%)
