Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
#11 · Bundesliga
LDLWL
1 - 2
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Referee: F. Badstubner
VfL Wolfsburg
#17 · Bundesliga
WLLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Union Berlin will face VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Union Berlin has a 47.3% probability of winning this match. VfL Wolfsburg has a 30.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Union Berlin47.3%2.17
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.3%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.34
15.8%
1-0
7.89
12.7%
2-1
8.30
12.1%
0-1
9.81
10.2%
2-0
10.20
9.9%
1-2
10.49
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.17 | Draw 3.53 | Away 3.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.88 | Under 1.95 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.63 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.10 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.11 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.33 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.68 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91%
Over 1.5 Goals74.1%
Over 2.5 Goals56%
Over 3.5 Goals30.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 | VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonUnion BerlinVfL Wolfsburg
0.93Goals p.g.1.21
1.86Goals conceded p.g.2.57
14%Clean sheets0%
14%Win rate14%
2.79Avg goals in match3.79
Recent Results
Union BerlinLAST MATCHES
18 AprUnion Berlin1–2VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
05 AprUnion Berlin1–1FC St. PauliBundesliga
21 MarBayern München4–0Union BerlinBundesliga
15 MarSC Freiburg0–1Union BerlinBundesliga
08 MarUnion Berlin1–4Werder BremenBundesliga
28 FebBorussia Mönchengladbach1–0Union BerlinBundesliga
2Win14%
5Draw36%
7Lost50%
LAST MATCHESVfL Wolfsburg
18 AprUnion Berlin1–2VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
04 AprBayer Leverkusen6–3VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
21 MarVfL Wolfsburg0–1Werder BremenBundesliga
14 Mar1899 Hoffenheim1–1VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
07 MarVfL Wolfsburg1–2Hamburger SVBundesliga
01 MarVfB Stuttgart4–0VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
2Win14%
3Draw21%
9Lost64%
Lineups
ConfirmedUnion Berlin3-4-1-2Confirmed
5Danilho DoekhiDEF
4Diogo LeiteDEF
14Leopold QuerfeldDEF
23Andrej IlićFWD
10Ilyas AnsahFWD
7Oliver BurkeFWD
1Frederik RonnowGK
6Aljoscha KemleinMID
28Christopher TrimmelMID
8Rani KhediraMID
15Tom RotheMID
Substitutes
34Stanley N'SokiDEF
39Derrick KöhnDEF
18Josip JuranovićDEF
9Livan BurcuFWD
25Carl KlausGK
33Alex KrálMID
21Tim SkarkeMID
13András SchäferMID
19Janik HabererMID
VfL Wolfsburg3-4-2-1Confirmed
6Jeanuël BelocianDEF
4Konstantinos KoulierakisDEF
3Denis VavroDEF
17Dženan PejčinovićFWD
39Patrick WimmerFWD
9Mohamed AmouraFWD
1Kamil GrabaraGK
24Christian EriksenMID
21Joakim MæhleMID
25Aaron ZehnterMID
5Vinícius SouzaMID
Substitutes
15Moritz JenzDEF
18Jonas Adjei AdjeteyDEF
26Saël KumbediDEF
7Kento ShiogaiFWD
11Adam DaghimFWD
12Pavao PervanGK
31Yannick GerhardtMID
27Maximilian ArnoldMID
10Lovro MajerMID
Unavailable Players
14 playersUnion Berlin4
D. Preu
Missing FixtureInactive
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Missing FixtureKnock
M. Raab
Missing FixtureHand Injury
R. Skov
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
VfL Wolfsburg10
B. Dardai
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Cleiton
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Seelt
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Wind
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
K. Fischer
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
K. Paredes
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Muller
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Svanberg
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Rogerio
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Kumbedi
Missing FixtureKnock
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.88 (56%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (59.3%)
Value Bets
Union Berlin Win2.17 (47.3%)
VfL Wolfsburg Win3.23 (30.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.95 (44%)
BTTS No2.11 (40.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.53 (22.6%)
