U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
#2 · Liga MX
WWWDW
4 - 2
FC Juarez
#15 · Liga MX
LLLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 63.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , U.N.A.M. - Pumas will face FC Juarez in the Liga MX.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a 59.7% probability of winning this match. FC Juarez has a 19.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 2nd in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas average 2.0 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — U.N.A.M. - Pumas59.7%1.81
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.8%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.23
13.9%
2-1
7.77
12.9%
1-0
9.14
11%
2-0
9.99
10.1%
2-2
11.33
8.9%
1-2
11.73
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.81 | Draw 3.85 | Away 3.80 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.56 | Under 2.36 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.83 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.36 | Under 1.54 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.51 | No 2.37 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.23 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.9%
Over 1.5 Goals80.6%
Over 2.5 Goals62.8%
Over 3.5 Goals39.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW |
| 2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 5 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD |
| 6 |  Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 15 | FC Juarez | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 16 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 17 |  Puebla | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonU.N.A.M. - PumasFC Juarez
2Goals p.g.1.62
1.25Goals conceded p.g.2
38%Clean sheets0%
56%Win rate25%
3.25Avg goals in match3.62
Recent Results
U.N.A.M. - PumasLAST MATCHES
22 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas4–2FC JuarezLiga MX
18 AprAtletico San Luis0–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
12 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–1MazatlánLiga MX
06 AprGuadalajara Chivas2–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
22 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–0Club AmericaLiga MX
15 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas2–2Cruz AzulLiga MX
9Win56%
5Draw31%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESFC Juarez
22 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas4–2FC JuarezLiga MX
19 AprLeon3–1FC JuarezLiga MX
11 AprFC Juarez1–2Club TijuanaLiga MX
08 AprClub Queretaro1–1FC JuarezLiga MX
04 AprPuebla1–1FC JuarezLiga MX
23 MarFC Juarez2–1Tigres UANLLiga MX
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
Lineups
ConfirmedU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-1-4-2Confirmed
5Ruben DuarteDEF
7Rodrigo LopezDEF
6Nathan SilvaDEF
23Juninho VieiraFWD
9Guillermo MartínezFWD
35Pablo LaraGK
31Robert MoralesMID
77Álvaro AnguloMID
22Alan MedinaMID
45Pedro ViteMID
33Jordan CarrilloMID
Substitutes
2Pablo BennevendoDEF
24Antonio LeoneDEF
215Angel AzuajeDEF
19Jesús RivasDEF
21Uriel AntunaFWD
181Miguel PaulGK
193Dennis RamirezMID
26Ángel RicoMID
20Santiago TrigosMID
14Cesar GarzaMID
FC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed
33Francisco NevarezDEF
2Jesus MurilloDEF
4Alejandro MayorgaDEF
26José GarcíaDEF
29Ettson AyónFWD
1Sebastián JuradoGK
5Denzell GarciaMID
6MonchuMID
20Jairo TorresMID
237Eder LopezMID
11José Luis RodríguezMID
Substitutes
19Óscar EstupiñánFWD
17Luca Martínez DupuyFWD
9Madson de Souza SilvaFWD
27Guillermo RuizGK
203Luis CarmonaMID
22Javier AquinoMID
8Guilherme CastilhoMID
21RicardinhoMID
13Raymundo FulgencioMID
18Homer MartinezMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersU.N.A.M. - Pumas
No reported absences
FC Juarez
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win1.81 (59.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (62.8%)
Both Teams Score1.51 (63%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.36 (37.2%)
BTTS No2.37 (37%)
Speculative
Draw3.85 (20.8%)
FC Juarez Win3.80 (19.6%)