Tukums II vs Skanste
Tukums II
#12 · 1. Liga
LDLLW
2 - 0
Skanste
#7 · 1. Liga
DWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Skanste to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over Tukums II make Skanste the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.10
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.04 for Skanste to Win. Our model calculates a 46.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Tukums II will face Skanste in the 1. Liga.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tukums II has a 32.6% probability of winning this match. Skanste has a 46.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Skanste46.2%2.04
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.4%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes65.9%1.44
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.88
14.6%
1-2
8.02
12.6%
2-1
10.04
10.1%
0-1
10.02
10%
2-2
10.35
9.8%
0-2
11.34
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.85 | Draw 3.51 | Away 2.04 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.41 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.22 | Under 1.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.44 | No 2.50 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.61 | 12 1.21 | X2 1.33 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.2%
Over 1.5 Goals80.7%
Over 2.5 Goals66.4%
Over 3.5 Goals41.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | DWDW |
| 4 |  Super Nova 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 |  Leevon / PPK | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | DDWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Skanste | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 | DWLL |
| 12 | Tukums II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 13 |  Rīgas FS II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | LLLD |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 | LLLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTukums IISkanste
1.46Goals p.g.1.71
2.92Goals conceded p.g.1.5
15%Clean sheets21%
23%Win rate43%
4.38Avg goals in match3.21
Recent Results
Tukums IILAST MATCHES
11 AprTukums II1–3Riga Mariners1. Liga
04 AprJFK Ventspils2–2Tukums II1. Liga
21 MarTukums II1–3Metta / LU1. Liga
08 NovSkanste6–2Tukums II1. Liga
01 NovTukums II2–1Riga FC II1. Liga
25 OctJDFS Alberts4–3Tukums II1. Liga
3Win23%
2Draw15%
8Lost62%
LAST MATCHESSkanste
19 AprSkanste1–1Super Nova 21. Liga
11 AprRēzekne FA1–6Skanste1. Liga
04 AprMārupe4–0Skanste1. Liga
22 MarSkanste1–2Leevon / PPK1. Liga
07 FebElva1–3SkansteFriendlies Clubs
08 NovSkanste6–2Tukums II1. Liga
6Win43%
4Draw29%
4Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTukums II
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (66.4%)
Both Teams Score1.44 (65.9%)
Value Bets
Tukums II Win2.85 (32.6%)
Skanste Win2.04 (46.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.41 (33.6%)
BTTS No2.50 (34.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.51 (21.2%)
