TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
#6 · Bundesliga
WDLLD
2 - 2
Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg
Referee: Julian Weinberger, Austria
Rapid Vienna
#5 · Bundesliga
LDLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , TSV Hartberg will face Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga at Profertil Arena Hartberg.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that TSV Hartberg has a 37.7% probability of winning this match. Rapid Vienna has a 37.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- TSV Hartberg boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- TSV Hartberg have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Rapid Vienna37.9%2.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.8%1.75
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.5%1.91
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.01
16.7%
0-1
6.57
15.3%
0-0
8.19
12.3%
1-2
8.22
12.3%
0-2
9.02
11.2%
1-0
9.33
10.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.54 | Draw 3.24 | Away 2.07 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.04 | Under 1.75 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.32 | Under 3.13 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.54 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.73 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.27 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.5%
Over 1.5 Goals70.3%
Over 2.5 Goals43.2%
Over 3.5 Goals26.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDWDW |
| 1 |  Ried | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 25 | WDDWL |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | WLWDL |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWWLD |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 20 | DDLWL |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 | DDLWW |
| 6 |  Wolfsberger AC | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | DDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonTSV HartbergRapid Vienna
1.4Goals p.g.1.2
0.67Goals conceded p.g.1.2
47%Clean sheets27%
47%Win rate40%
2.07Avg goals in match2.4
Recent Results
TSV HartbergLAST MATCHES
22 AprRapid Vienna0–1TSV HartbergBundesliga
19 AprTSV Hartberg2–2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
05 AprTSV Hartberg1–2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
22 MarTSV Hartberg0–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
13 MarLask Linz0–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
08 MarTSV Hartberg1–1FC BW LinzBundesliga
7Win47%
6Draw40%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESRapid Vienna
22 AprRapid Vienna0–1TSV HartbergBundesliga
19 AprTSV Hartberg2–2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
05 AprRapid Vienna0–2Sturm GrazBundesliga
22 MarRapid Vienna4–2Lask LinzBundesliga
15 MarRed Bull Salzburg0–1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
08 MarRapid Vienna1–0Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
6Win40%
3Draw20%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedTSV Hartberg3-4-3Confirmed
6Habib Anas CoulibalyDEF
19Lukas SpendlhoferDEF
18Fabian WilfingerDEF
22Marco HoffmannFWD
30Lukas FridrikasFWD
7Elias HavelFWD
40Tom HülsmannGK
27Konstantin SchoppMID
2Luca PazourekMID
4Benjamin MarkušMID
28Jurgen HeilMID
Substitutes
25Emmanuel OjukwuDEF
16Julian GöllesDEF
95Damjan KovačevićDEF
33Maximilian HennigDEF
61Musibau AzizFWD
77David KorherrFWD
1Ammar HelacGK
8Julian HalwachsMID
5Youba DiarraMID
Rapid Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
20Kouadio Ange AhoussouDEF
6Serge-Philippe Raux-YaoDEF
55Nenad CvetkovićDEF
26Andreas WeimannFWD
15Nikolaus WurmbrandFWD
9Ercan KaraFWD
1Niklas HedlGK
18Matthias SeidlMID
77Bendegúz BollaMID
4Jakob SchöllerMID
29Romeo AmaneMID
Substitutes
23Jonas Antonius AuerDEF
61Furkan DemirDEF
22Yusuf DemirFWD
90Janis AntisteFWD
7Marco TilioFWD
10Petter Nosakhare DahlFWD
25Paul GartlerGK
17Tobias Fjeld GulliksenMID
8Lukas GrgićMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Rapid Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.75 (56.8%)
Value Bets
TSV Hartberg Win3.54 (37.7%)
Rapid Vienna Win2.07 (37.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (43.2%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (48.5%)
BTTS No1.91 (51.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (24.4%)
