Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir

Süper LigRegular Season - 30

Trabzonspor

#3 · Süper Lig

DDDWW

1 - 1

Papara Park, Trabzon

Referee: A. Akarsu

Başakşehir

#5 · Süper Lig

DDDLW

51.6%

Home Win

21.3%

Draw

27.1%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Over 2.5 Goals

Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.

Totals

1.57

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Trabzonspor will face Başakşehir in the Süper Lig at Papara Park.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Trabzonspor has a 51.6% probability of winning this match. Başakşehir has a 27.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Trabzonspor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Trabzonspor51.6%1.88

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.559.1%1.52

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes60.7%1.49

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

7.30

13.8%

2-1

7.90

12.8%

1-0

9.68

10.4%

2-0

10.80

9.4%

2-2

11.10

9.1%

1-2

11.33

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.88	Draw 3.82	Away 3.58
O/U 2.5	Over 1.52	Under 2.42
O/U 1.5	Over 1.15	Under 4.99
O/U 3.5	Over 2.33	Under 1.58
BTTS	Yes 1.49	No 2.47
Double Chance	1X 1.27	12 1.23	X2 1.87

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

93.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

81.2%

Over 2.5 Goals

59.1%

Over 3.5 Goals

40.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Galatasaray	30	22	5	3	69	23	46	71	WDWLW
2	Fenerbahçe	30	19	10	1	68	30	38	67	DWWWL
3	Trabzonspor	30	19	8	3	57	32	25	65	DDWWW
4	Beşiktaş	30	16	7	7	54	36	18	55	LWLWW
5	Başakşehir	30	13	9	8	48	31	17	48	DWDDL
6	Göztepe	30	12	12	6	37	27	10	48	DDLWD
16	Eyüpspor	30	6	7	17	22	44	-22	25	WLLLL
17	Kayserispor	30	4	11	15	21	57	-36	23	LLLWL
18	Fatih Karagümrük	30	5	5	20	27	53	-26	20	LLWLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

TrabzonsporBaşakşehir

1.94Goals p.g.1.71

0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.29

31%Clean sheets29%

69%Win rate50%

2.81Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

TrabzonsporLAST MATCHES

23 AprSamsunspor0–0TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası

19 AprTrabzonspor1–1BaşakşehirSüper Lig

11 AprAlanyaspor1–1TrabzonsporSüper Lig

04 AprTrabzonspor2–1GalatasaraySüper Lig

18 MarEyüpspor0–1TrabzonsporSüper Lig

14 MarTrabzonspor1–0RizesporSüper Lig

11Win69%

4Draw25%

1Lost6%

LAST MATCHESBaşakşehir

19 AprTrabzonspor1–1BaşakşehirSüper Lig

06 AprKocaelispor0–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig

18 MarBaşakşehir0–0AntalyasporSüper Lig

14 MarGalatasaray3–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig

07 MarBaşakşehir2–1GöztepeSüper Lig

03 MarBaşakşehir2–4TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası

7Win50%

4Draw29%

3Lost21%

Lineups

Confirmed

Trabzonspor4-2-3-1Confirmed

27Chibuike NwaiwuDEF

19Mustafa EskihellaçDEF

15Stefan SavićDEF

20Wagner PinaDEF

30Paul OnuachuFWD

24André OnanaGK

9Anthony NwakaemeMID

42Christ Inao OulaïMID

22Oleksandr ZubkovMID

99Felipe AugustoMID

11Ozan TufanMID

Substitutes

14Mathias LøvikDEF

18Umut NayirFWD

17Onuralp ÇakıroğluFWD

88Ahmet Doğan YıldırımGK

25Onuralp ÇevikkanGK

74Salih MalkoçoğluMID

10Ernest MuçiMID

5Okay YokuşluMID

8Benjamin BouchouariMID

Başakşehir4-2-3-1Confirmed

3Jerome OpokuDEF

6Onur BulutDEF

88Kazımcan KarataşDEF

5Léo DuarteDEF

91Bertuğ YıldırımFWD

16Muhammed ŞengezerGK

8Olivier KemenMID

20Umut GüneşMID

7Yusuf SarıMID

14Eldor ShomurodovMID

77Ivan BrnićMID

Substitutes

36Festy EboseleDEF

27Ousseynou BaDEF

10Nuno Da CostaFWD

9Davie SelkeFWD

80Doğan AlemdarGK

18Jakub KałuzińskiMID

11Abbosbek FayzullaevMID

25Amine HaritMID

13Miguel CrespoMID

4Onur ErgünMID

Unavailable Players

5 players

Trabzonspor4

✕A. Batagov

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕E. Visca

Missing FixtureFoot Injury

✕T. E. Ince

Missing FixtureInactive

✕T. Jabol-Folcarelli

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

Başakşehir1

✕O. Sahiner

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (59.1%)

Both Teams Score1.49 (60.7%)

●Value Bets

Trabzonspor Win1.88 (51.6%)

Başakşehir Win3.58 (27.1%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (40.9%)

BTTS No2.47 (39.3%)

●Speculative

Draw3.82 (21.3%)