Tottenham vs Brighton
Tottenham
#18 · Premier League
DLWDL
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Referee: S. Attwell
Brighton
#6 · Premier League
DWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Tottenham will face Brighton in the Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tottenham has a 33.1% probability of winning this match. Brighton has a 44.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Brighton sit 6th in the table, 12 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Brighton44.9%2.23
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.7%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.6%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.84
14.7%
1-2
8.46
11.9%
0-1
9.67
10.4%
2-1
9.88
10.2%
1-0
11.05
9.1%
2-2
11.32
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.98 | Draw 3.74 | Away 2.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.65 | Under 2.25 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.39 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.58 | Under 1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.36 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.66 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals78.6%
Over 2.5 Goals56.7%
Over 3.5 Goals36.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 | Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 18 | Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonTottenhamBrighton
1.43Goals p.g.1.08
2.14Goals conceded p.g.1.15
14%Clean sheets15%
21%Win rate38%
3.57Avg goals in match2.23
Recent Results
TottenhamLAST MATCHES
18 AprTottenham2–2BrightonPremier League
22 MarTottenham0–3Nottingham ForestPremier League
18 MarTottenham3–2Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
15 MarLiverpool1–1TottenhamPremier League
10 MarAtletico Madrid5–2TottenhamUEFA Champions League
05 MarTottenham1–3Crystal PalacePremier League
3Win21%
4Draw29%
7Lost50%
LAST MATCHESBrighton
18 AprTottenham2–2BrightonPremier League
21 MarBrighton2–1LiverpoolPremier League
14 MarSunderland0–1BrightonPremier League
04 MarBrighton0–1ArsenalPremier League
01 MarBrighton2–1Nottingham ForestPremier League
21 FebBrentford0–2BrightonPremier League
5Win38%
3Draw23%
5Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedTottenham4-2-3-1Confirmed
23Pedro PorroDEF
13Destiny UdogieDEF
37Micky van de VenDEF
4Kevin DansoDEF
19Dominic SolankeFWD
31Antonín KinskýGK
7Xavi SimonsMID
8Yves BissoumaMID
39Randal Kolo MuaniMID
22Conor GallagherMID
30Rodrigo BentancurMID
Substitutes
3Radu DrăguşinDEF
24Djed SpenceDEF
9RicharlisonFWD
11Mathys TelFWD
40Brandon AustinGK
15Lucas BergvallMID
10James MaddisonMID
6Joao PalhinhaMID
14Archie GrayMID
Brighton4-2-3-1Confirmed
6Jan Paul van HeckeDEF
24Ferdi KadıoğluDEF
21Olivier BoscagliDEF
27Mats WiefferDEF
18Danny WelbeckFWD
1Bart VerbruggenGK
30Pascal GroßMID
26Yasin AyariMID
11Yankuba MintehMID
13Jack HinshelwoodMID
25Diego GómezMID
Substitutes
34Joel VeltmanDEF
29Maxim De CuyperDEF
3Igor JúlioDEF
19Charalampos KostoulasFWD
10Georginio RutterFWD
23Jason SteeleGK
33Matt O'RileyMID
22Kaoru MitomaMID
17Carlos BalebaMID
Unavailable Players
11 playersTottenham7
B. Davies
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
C. Romero
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Kulusevski
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Vicario
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
J. Maddison
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Kudus
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
W. Odobert
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Brighton4
A. Webster
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Milner
Missing FixtureInjury
L. Dunk
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Tzimas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.65 (56.7%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (59.6%)
Value Bets
Tottenham Win2.98 (33.1%)
Brighton Win2.23 (44.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.25 (43.3%)
BTTS No2.36 (40.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.74 (22%)
