Toronto FC vs Austin
Toronto FC
#6 · Major League Soccer
DWWDW
3 - 3
BMO Field
Referee: D. Fischer
Austin
#13 · Major League Soccer
DLLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.78 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Toronto FC will face Austin in the Major League Soccer at BMO Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Toronto FC has a 55.1% probability of winning this match. Austin has a 22% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Toronto FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Toronto FC55.1%1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.8%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%1.78
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.11
16.4%
1-0
6.71
14.9%
2-1
7.88
12.8%
2-0
8.67
11.6%
0-0
9.40
10.7%
0-1
9.99
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.93 | Draw 3.43 | Away 3.89 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.95 | Under 1.84 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.39 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.39 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.78 | No 1.97 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.23 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals72.3%
Over 2.5 Goals52.8%
Over 3.5 Goals27.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | DDWWD |
| 13 | Austin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 | DLDDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonToronto FCAustin
1.86Goals p.g.1
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.69
14%Clean sheets25%
50%Win rate12%
3.43Avg goals in match2.69
Recent Results
Toronto FCLAST MATCHES
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
04 AprToronto FC3–2Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
21 MarToronto FC2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
14 MarToronto FC1–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
08 MarFC Cincinnati0–1Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
01 MarVancouver Whitecaps3–0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAustin
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
14 AprLouisville City2–1AustinUS Open Cup
11 AprAustin1–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
04 AprInter Miami2–2AustinMajor League Soccer
22 MarAustin0–0Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
15 MarReal Salt Lake2–1AustinMajor League Soccer
2Win13%
6Draw38%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
13 playersToronto FC9
B. Kuscevic
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
D. Kerr
QuestionableGroin Injury
D. Mihailovic
Missing FixturePelvis Injury
H. Wingo
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Matheus Pereira
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
N. Gomis
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
T. Corbeanu
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
W. Zimmerman
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Z. Monlouis
QuestionableInjury
Austin4
B. Vazquez
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Pereira
Missing FixtureInjury
I. Sanchez
QuestionableInjury
O. Wolff
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Toronto FC Win1.93 (55.1%)
Both Teams Score1.78 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.95 (52.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.84 (47.2%)
BTTS No1.97 (44.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.43 (22.9%)
Austin Win3.89 (22%)
