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Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 10
Toronto FC
#6 · Major League Soccer
DWWDW
1 - 2
BMO Field
Referee: I. Elfath
Atlanta United FC
#14 · Major League Soccer
LWLDW
54.2%
Home Win
22.1%
Draw
23.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Toronto FC will face Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer at BMO Field.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Toronto FC has a 54.2% probability of winning this match. Atlanta United FC has a 23.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Toronto FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Toronto FC sit 6th in the table, 8 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Toronto FC54.2%1.85
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.1%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.62
15.2%
1-0
7.57
13.3%
2-1
7.79
12.9%
2-0
8.93
11.3%
0-1
11.53
8.7%
0-0
11.60
8.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.85Draw 3.60Away 3.88
O/U 2.5Over 1.76Under 2.04
O/U 1.5Over 1.23Under 3.94
O/U 3.5Over 2.86Under 1.40
BTTSYes 1.66No 2.12
Double Chance1X 1.2312 1.25X2 1.88

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
87012241821
WWWLW
1
Nashville SC
86111741319
WWLWW
2
San Jose Earthquakes
87011731421
WWWWL
2
Inter Miami
84311614215
WDDWD
3
Los Angeles FC
85121661016
LLWDW
3
Charlotte
84221510514
WLWWD
6
Toronto FC
83321314-112
DDWWD
14
Atlanta United FC
8116614-84
LLLDW
15
Orlando City SC
8116625-194
LDLLW
15
Sporting Kansas City
8116720-134
LLLLW

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Toronto FCAtlanta United FC
1.86Goals p.g.1.2
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.53
14%Clean sheets20%
50%Win rate27%
3.43Avg goals in match2.73

Recent Results

Toronto FCLAST MATCHES
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
04 AprToronto FC3–2Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
21 MarToronto FC2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
14 MarToronto FC1–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
08 MarFC Cincinnati0–1Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
01 MarVancouver Whitecaps3–0Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAtlanta United FC
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprChattanooga1–3Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
04 AprAtlanta United FC1–3Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
21 MarAtlanta United FC0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
14 MarAtlanta United FC3–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
08 MarAtlanta United FC2–3Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
4Draw27%
7Lost47%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

11 players

Toronto FC7

✕B. Kuscevic
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
✕D. Mihailovic
Missing FixturePelvis Injury
✕H. Wingo
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
✕Matheus Pereira
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
✕N. Gomis
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
✕T. Corbeanu
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕W. Zimmerman
QuestionableCalf Injury

Atlanta United FC4

✕M. Almiron
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕S. Alzate
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕Sergio Santos
Missing FixtureIllness
✕T. Jacob
QuestionableLeg Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.76 (56%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (58.1%)
●Value Bets
Toronto FC Win1.85 (54.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.04 (44%)
BTTS No2.12 (41.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.60 (22.1%)
Atlanta United FC Win3.88 (23.7%)
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro