Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán

Liga MXClausura - 17

Tigres UANL

#8 · Liga MX

DDLWW

1 - 0

Estadio Universitario

Mazatlán

#16 · Liga MX

WDLLD

70.3%

Home Win

14.9%

Draw

14.8%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

2.00

BEST ODDS

Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.91 (implied 52.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.88. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Tigres UANL will face Mazatlán in the Liga MX at Estadio Universitario.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tigres UANL has a 70.3% probability of winning this match. Mazatlán has a 14.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 14.9%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Tigres UANL sit 8th in the table, 8 places above their opponents

Match Preview

Predictions

Strong confidence

Match Result

1 — Tigres UANL70.3%1.19

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.564.2%1.39

Both Teams to Score

Yes53.1%1.91

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

2-0

6.67

15.1%

3-0

7.15

14%

1-0

8.86

11.4%

2-1

8.89

11.3%

3-1

9.69

10.4%

4-0

9.92

10.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.19	Draw 6.57	Away 12.11
O/U 2.5	Over 1.39	Under 2.82
O/U 1.5	Over 1.10	Under 6.10
O/U 3.5	Over 2.02	Under 1.77
BTTS	Yes 1.91	No 1.79
Double Chance	1X 1.03	12 1.09	X2 4.29

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

94.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

84.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

64.2%

Over 3.5 Goals

46.7%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
8	Tigres UANL	16	6	4	6	23	17	6	22	DDWLL
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Tigres UANLMazatlán

1.7Goals p.g.1.31

1.2Goals conceded p.g.2

25%Clean sheets6%

40%Win rate25%

2.9Avg goals in match3.31

Recent Results

Tigres UANLLAST MATCHES

23 AprAtlas0–0Tigres UANLLiga MX

18 AprNecaxa1–1Tigres UANLLiga MX

16 AprSeattle Sounders3–1Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League

11 AprTigres UANL4–1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX

09 AprTigres UANL2–0Seattle SoundersCONCACAF Champions League

04 AprClub Tijuana1–0Tigres UANLLiga MX

8Win40%

5Draw25%

7Lost35%

LAST MATCHESMazatlán

23 AprMazatlán4–3TolucaLiga MX

18 AprMazatlán1–1Club QueretaroLiga MX

12 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–1MazatlánLiga MX

04 AprNecaxa2–1MazatlánLiga MX

21 MarMazatlán1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

16 MarClub America2–0MazatlánLiga MX

4Win25%

3Draw19%

9Lost56%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tigres UANL

No reported absences

Mazatlán

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Tigres UANL Win1.19 (70.3%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.39 (64.2%)

●Value Bets

Under 2.5 Goals2.82 (35.8%)

Both Teams Score1.91 (53.1%)

BTTS No1.79 (46.9%)

●Speculative

Draw6.57 (14.9%)

Mazatlán Win12.11 (14.8%)